RFGPF (Retail Food Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $4.75 (As of Aug. 25, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

RFGPF Retail Food Group Ltd RFGPF
41 GF Score
Price $1.60
GF Value $2.95
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Retail Food Group RFGPF 41 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.75 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates RFGPF with a GF Score™ of 41/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.95. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 234 Restaurants companies, Retail Food Group ranks better than 77.78% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-25), Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.75. The stock price of Retail Food Group is $1.60. Therefore, Retail Food Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

RFGPF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17   Med: 0.61   Max: 1.46
Current: 0.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Retail Food Group was 1.46. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 0.61.

RFGPF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.78% of 234 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.095 vs RFGPF: 0.34

Retail Food Group  (OTCPK:RFGPF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Retail Food Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.60/1.9720903258987
=0.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Retail Food Group Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.80 7.73 2.05 1.51 2.39

Retail Food Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 1.51 0.00 2.39 0.00

RFGPF vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Retail Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Retail Food Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Retail Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Retail Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


RFGPF
41GF Score
Retail Food Group Ltd RFGPF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Retail Food Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2.28.

Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*2.2825714285714+126.938*0.8)/62.513
=1.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $4.75 mean?
Retail Food Group (RFGPF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $4.75 as of Aug. 25, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Retail Food Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Retail Food Group ranks #52 out of 234 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 22.2%.
Is Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Retail Food Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.75. The Restaurants industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.10. Retail Food Group's value of $4.75 is 333.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Retail Food Group ranks #52 out of 234 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Retail Food Group has a GF Score™ of 41/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Retail Food Group ranks #52 out of 234 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Retail Food Group in the top 22% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.10. Retail Food Group's value of $4.75 is 333.8% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Restaurants company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Restaurants companies is 1.10, based on 234 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Retail Food Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $4.75 is 333.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Retail Food Group and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.10 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Retail Food Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Retail Food Group stock overvalued right now?
Retail Food Group (RFGPF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $4.75. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.95, compared to a current price of $1.60 — trading 45.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.75 and 333.8% above the Restaurants industry median of 1.10. Retail Food Group's overall GF Score™ is 41/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Retail Food Group (RFGPF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.75 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Retail Food Group (RFGPF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Retail Food Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1.60 is trading 45.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $2.95.

Key valuation signals for RFGPF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $4.75
  • GF Value™: $2.95 vs. price of $1.60 (45.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 41/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 333.8% above the Restaurants median (#52 of 234)

No single metric tells the full story. See the RFGPF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Retail Food Group Business Description

Other Exchanges RFG:Australia
Address 35 Robina Town Centre Drive, Level 4, Robina, QLD, AUS, 4226
Retail Food Group Ltd owns, operates, and franchises restaurants located in Australia. Retail Food Group's brands include Donut King, Michel's Patisserie, Brumby's Bakery, Esquires Coffee Houses, Gloria Jean's Coffees, Pizza Capers Gourmet Kitchen, and Crust Gourmet Pizza. The company generates roughly half its revenue from restaurants that it directly operates. Its key source of revenue is from franchise agreements. The Group's primary revenue streams include revenue from the sales of goods, revenue from the sale of franchise agreements, revenue from the sale of distribution rights, operating lease income, and other sources. Its segments are Cafe, Coffee & Bakery, and Quick Service Restaurants (QSR) Systems and generates maximum revenue from the Cafe, Coffee & Bakery segment.
41GF Score

Get the complete analysis for RFGPF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.60
Price
$2.95
GF Value