RL (Ralph Lauren) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $177.89 (As of Sep. 11, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

RL Ralph Lauren Corp RL
94 GF Score
Price $336.67
GF Value $303.28
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Ralph Lauren Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Ralph Lauren RL +0.32% 94 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.89 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus rates RL with a GF Score™ of 94/100 and a GF Value™ of $303.28 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 768 Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies, Ralph Lauren ranks worse than 77.47% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-11), Ralph Lauren's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.89. The stock price of Ralph Lauren is $336.67. Therefore, Ralph Lauren's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ralph Lauren's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

RL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.64   Med: 1.12   Max: 2.37
Current: 1.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ralph Lauren was 2.37. The lowest was 0.64. And the median was 1.12.

RL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
77.47% of 768 companies
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs RL: 1.89

Ralph Lauren  (NYSE:RL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ralph Lauren's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=336.67/177.88564912742
=1.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ralph Lauren Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Ralph Lauren Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ralph Lauren's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ralph Lauren Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ralph Lauren Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 100.82 94.80 103.36 132.52 164.60

Ralph Lauren Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 134.35 132.45 171.49 164.60 177.89

RL vs LEVI, VFC, KTB: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Ralph Lauren's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ralph Lauren Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ralph Lauren's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ralph Lauren's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


RL
94GF Score
Ralph Lauren Corp RL
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ralph Lauren Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ralph Lauren's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $628.83.

Ralph Lauren's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.878285919786*628.832+2721.6*0.8)/61.300
=177.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $177.89 mean?
Ralph Lauren (RL) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $177.89 as of Sep. 11, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Ralph Lauren and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ralph Lauren ranks #595 out of 768 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, placing it in the top 77.5%.
Is Ralph Lauren's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Ralph Lauren's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.89. The Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82. Ralph Lauren's value of $177.89 is 21593.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ralph Lauren ranks #595 out of 768 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Ralph Lauren has a GF Score™ of 94/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ralph Lauren's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to LEVI and VFC?
According to the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry distribution chart, Ralph Lauren ranks #595 out of 768 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Ralph Lauren in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82. Ralph Lauren's value of $177.89 is 21593.9% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies is 0.82, based on 768 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ralph Lauren's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $177.89 is 21593.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Ralph Lauren and its competitors. For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ralph Lauren's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ralph Lauren stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ralph Lauren (RL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $303.28, compared to a current price of $336.67 — trading 11% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.89 and 21593.9% above the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median of 0.82. Ralph Lauren's overall GF Score™ is 94/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ralph Lauren (RL), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.89 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ralph Lauren (RL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ralph Lauren stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $336.67 is trading 11% above its estimated GF Value™ of $303.28. GuruFocus considers Ralph Lauren to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for RL:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $177.89
  • GF Value™: $303.28 vs. price of $336.67 (11% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 94/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 21593.9% above the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories median (#595 of 768)

No single metric tells the full story. See the RL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ralph Lauren Business Description

Address 650 Madison Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10022
Founded by designer Ralph Lauren (current executive chairman and chief creative officer) in 1967 in New York City, Ralph Lauren Corp. designs, markets, and distributes lifestyle merchandise in North America (41% of fiscal 2026 sales), Europe (31%), and Asia (26%). Best known for its iconic polo shirts, its products also include other types of apparel, footwear, eyewear, jewelry, handbags, home goods, and fragrances. The company's brands include Ralph Lauren Collection, Polo Ralph Lauren, and Lauren Ralph Lauren. Distribution channels for Ralph Lauren include wholesale (department stores and specialty stores), retail (company-owned retail stores and e-commerce), and licensing.
94GF Score

Get the complete analysis for RL

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$336.67
Price
$303.28
GF Value