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Tsingtao Brewery CoTSGTY 73 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.99 as of Sep. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSGTY with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $36.52 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 157 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Tsingtao Brewery Co ranks worse than 59.24% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-09-02), Tsingtao Brewery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.99. The stock price of Tsingtao Brewery Co is $27.30. Therefore, Tsingtao Brewery Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.
The historical rank and industry rank for Tsingtao Brewery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
TSGTY'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.19 Med: 2.1 Max: 3.96
Current: 1.19
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Tsingtao Brewery Co was 3.96. The lowest was 1.19. And the median was 2.10.
TSGTY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 59.24% of 157
companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.01
vs TSGTY: 1.19
Tsingtao Brewery Co (OTCPK:TSGTY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Tsingtao Brewery Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
27.30
/
31.14695778004
=
0.88
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Tsingtao Brewery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Tsingtao Brewery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Tsingtao Brewery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Tsingtao Brewery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
TSGTY vs STZ: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Tsingtao Brewery Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Tsingtao Brewery Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry
For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Tsingtao Brewery Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Tsingtao Brewery Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Tsingtao Brewery Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $22.99 mean?
Tsingtao Brewery Co (TSGTY) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $22.99 as of Sep. 02, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Tsingtao Brewery Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Tsingtao Brewery Co ranks #93 out of 157 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 59.2%.
Is Tsingtao Brewery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Tsingtao Brewery Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.99. The Beverages - Alcoholic industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01. Tsingtao Brewery Co's value of $22.99 is 2176.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tsingtao Brewery Co ranks #93 out of 157 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Tsingtao Brewery Co has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tsingtao Brewery Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to STZ?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Tsingtao Brewery Co ranks #93 out of 157 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Tsingtao Brewery Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01. Tsingtao Brewery Co's value of $22.99 is 2176.2% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 1.01, based on 157 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tsingtao Brewery Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $22.99 is 2176.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Tsingtao Brewery Co and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tsingtao Brewery Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tsingtao Brewery Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tsingtao Brewery Co (TSGTY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $36.52, compared to a current price of $27.30 — trading 25.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.99 and 2176.2% above the Beverages - Alcoholic industry median of 1.01. Tsingtao Brewery Co's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tsingtao Brewery Co (TSGTY), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.99 as of Sep. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Tsingtao Brewery Co (TSGTY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tsingtao Brewery Co stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $27.30 is trading 25.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $36.52.
GuruFocus considers Tsingtao Brewery Co to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for TSGTY:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $22.99
GF Value™: $36.52 vs. price of $27.30 (25.2% below fair value)
Industry Position: 2176.2% above the Beverages - Alcoholic median (#93 of 157)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TSGTY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
With over 100 years of history, Tsingtao Brewery has become one of the leading brewers in China with its core Tsingtao brand. The company commands a dominant position in its core market, Shandong province, which contributed close to 60% of its revenue and net profit in 2024. Unlike other major brewers, Tsingtao Brewery's brand umbrellas consist entirely of domestic brands. The Tsingtao brand has a mid-range to high-end market positioning and contributed over half of its volume whereas the mass market Laoshan brand targets the mainstream segment, with a declining volume mix as the company sought to premiumize its portfolio.
73GF Score
Get the complete analysis for TSGTY
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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