TXT (Textron) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $113.66 (As of Sep. 21, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TXT Textron Inc TXT
84 GF Score
Price $79.69
GF Value $100.72
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Textron Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Textron TXT -1.51% 84 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $113.66 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates TXT with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of $100.72 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 196 Aerospace & Defense companies, Textron ranks better than 93.88% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-21), Textron's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $113.66. The stock price of Textron is $79.69. Therefore, Textron's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Textron's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TXT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 1.13   Max: 1.62
Current: 0.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Textron was 1.62. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 1.13.

TXT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
93.88% of 196 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 2.675 vs TXT: 0.70

Textron  (NYSE:TXT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Textron's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=79.69/113.65855293715
=0.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Textron Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Textron Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Textron's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Textron Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Textron Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 55.45 62.57 68.45 75.92 95.32

Textron Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 97.12 106.04 116.89 105.22 115.69

TXT vs BWXT, MOG.A, HII: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Textron's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Textron Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Textron's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Textron's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


TXT
84GF Score
Textron Inc TXT
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Textron Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Textron's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $904.80.

Textron's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*904.8+8054*0.8)/175.006
=113.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $113.66 mean?
Textron (TXT) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $113.66 as of Sep. 21, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Textron and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Textron ranks #12 out of 196 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 6.1%.
Is Textron's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Textron's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $113.66. The Aerospace & Defense industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.68. Textron's value of $113.66 is 4149% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Textron ranks #12 out of 196 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Textron has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Textron's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to BWXT and MOG.A?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Textron ranks #12 out of 196 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Textron in the top 6% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.68. Textron's value of $113.66 is 4149% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Aerospace & Defense company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Aerospace & Defense companies is 2.68, based on 196 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Textron's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $113.66 is 4149% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Textron and its competitors. For the Aerospace & Defense industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.68 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Textron's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $113.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Textron stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Textron (TXT) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $100.72, compared to a current price of $79.69 — trading 20.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $113.66 and 4149% above the Aerospace & Defense industry median of 2.68. Textron's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Textron (TXT), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $113.66 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Textron (TXT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Textron stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $79.69 is trading 20.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $100.72. GuruFocus considers Textron to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TXT:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $113.66
  • GF Value™: $100.72 vs. price of $79.69 (20.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 4149% above the Aerospace & Defense median (#12 of 196)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TXT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Textron Business Description

Address 40 Westminster Street, Providence, RI, USA, 02903
Textron is a conglomerate that designs, manufactures, and services a range of specialty aircraft including small jets, propeller-driven airplanes, helicopters, and tilt-rotor aircraft. Textron Aviation manufactures and services Cessna and Beechcraft planes. Bell is a helicopter and tilt-rotor manufacturer and servicer for both commercial and military customers. Textron Systems produces uncrewed aircraft and armored vehicles for the military market as well as aircraft simulators and training for the commercial and military markets. Textron Industrial houses the Kautex business, which manufactures plastic fuel tanks for conventional and hybrid motor vehicles, and other subsidiaries that produce specialized vehicles such as golf carts and all-terrain vehicles.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TXT

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$79.69
Price
$100.72
GF Value