Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CLP82.55 (As of Aug. 06, 2026) — 5970% Above Median

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XSGO:FOSFOROS Compania Chilena de Fosforos SA XSGO:FOSFOROS
59 GF Score
Price CLP379.99
GF Value CLP456.43
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Compania Chilena de Fosforos Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Compania Chilena de Fosforos XSGO:FOSFOROS 59 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CLP82.55 as of Aug. 06, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.36. GuruFocus rates XSGO:FOSFOROS with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of CLP456.43 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 214 Forest Products companies, Compania Chilena de Fosforos ranks worse than 93.46% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-06), Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CLP82.55. The stock price of Compania Chilena de Fosforos is CLP379.99. Therefore, Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 4.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XSGO:FOSFOROS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.66   Med: 1.36   Max: 83.19
Current: 4.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Compania Chilena de Fosforos was 83.19. The lowest was 0.66. And the median was 1.36.

XSGO:FOSFOROS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
93.46% of 214 companies
in the Forest Products industry
Industry Median: 0.62 vs XSGO:FOSFOROS: 4.60

Compania Chilena de Fosforos  (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=379.99/82.552506264126
=4.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 384.07 -82.39 370.85 170.44 58.90

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 129.89 199.47 154.47 58.90 82.55

XSGO:FOSFOROS vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


XSGO:FOSFOROS
59GF Score
Compania Chilena de Fosforos SA XSGO:FOSFOROS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = CLP-7,018.74.

Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.9881567514702*-7018.74448+93976.624*0.8)/61.500
=82.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CLP82.55 mean?
Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CLP82.55 as of Aug. 06, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Compania Chilena de Fosforos and its competitors. This is 5970% above median its historical median of 1.36. Over the past decade, Compania Chilena de Fosforos' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.66 to 83.19. According to the industry distribution chart, Compania Chilena de Fosforos ranks #200 out of 214 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 93.5%.
Is Compania Chilena de Fosforos' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Compania Chilena de Fosforos' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CLP82.55 is 5970% above median its 10-year median of 1.36. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.66 to a high of 83.19. Based on the distribution chart, Compania Chilena de Fosforos ranks #200 out of 214 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Compania Chilena de Fosforos has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Compania Chilena de Fosforos' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Compania Chilena de Fosforos ranks #200 out of 214 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Compania Chilena de Fosforos in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.62. Historically, Compania Chilena de Fosforos' own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.66 to 83.19 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Forest Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Forest Products companies is 0.62, based on 214 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Compania Chilena de Fosforos and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.62 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Compania Chilena de Fosforos's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CLP82.55, which is 5970% above median its own 10-year median of 1.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Compania Chilena de Fosforos stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CLP456.43, compared to a current price of CLP379.99 — trading 16.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CLP82.55, which is 5970% above median its 10-year median of 1.36. Compania Chilena de Fosforos' overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CLP82.55 as of Aug. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Compania Chilena de Fosforos stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CLP379.99 is trading 16.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of CLP456.43. GuruFocus considers Compania Chilena de Fosforos to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XSGO:FOSFOROS:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CLP82.55 (5970% above median its 10-year median of 1.36)
  • GF Value™: CLP456.43 vs. price of CLP379.99 (16.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSGO:FOSFOROS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Business Description

Address Avenida Los Conquistadores No. 1700, 15th Floor, Providencia, Santiago, CHL
Compania Chilena de Fosforos SA manufactures and trades safety matches and various other microwood products. Its product offerings include splints, matches, ice cream sticks, chopsticks, and paint palettes among others. It is also involved in agriculture, and fruit plantations by producing and marketing fruits such as blueberries, apples, wine grapes, and cherries. The company's operating segments are; Products associated with ignition, Agricultural activity, and Wood products. Maximum revenue is derived from the Products associated with ignition segment which includes the sale of household matches. Geographically, a majority of the firm's revenue is generated through the export of its products to markets like the United States, Peru, Brazil, Fiji, Japan, Europe, China, and others.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSGO:FOSFOROS

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CLP379.99
Price
CLP456.43
GF Value