Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00% (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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XSGO:FOSFOROS Compania Chilena de Fosforos SA XSGO:FOSFOROS
61 GF Score
Price CLP379.99
GF Value CLP456.54
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Compania Chilena de Fosforos Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Compania Chilena de Fosforos XSGO:FOSFOROS 61 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates XSGO:FOSFOROS with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of CLP456.54 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 240 Forest Products companies, Compania Chilena de Fosforos ranks worse than 83.33% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Compania Chilena de Fosforos's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

XSGO:FOSFOROS' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -46.34   Med: -22.49   Max: 26.67
Current: -27.52

During the past 13 years, Compania Chilena de Fosforos's highest Forward Rate of Return was 26.67. The lowest was -46.34. And the median was -22.49.

XSGO:FOSFOROS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
83.33% of 240 companies
in the Forest Products industry
Industry Median: 3.155 vs XSGO:FOSFOROS: -27.52

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos  (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -34.24 -39.07 -40.89 -24.73 0.00

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -29.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

XSGO:FOSFOROS vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


XSGO:FOSFOROS
61GF Score
Compania Chilena de Fosforos SA XSGO:FOSFOROS
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Compania Chilena de Fosforos Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Compania Chilena de Fosforos's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-102.98857143/379.99+-0.0042
=-27.52 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Compania Chilena de Fosforos and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Compania Chilena de Fosforos ranks #200 out of 240 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 83.3%.
Is Compania Chilena de Fosforos' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Compania Chilena de Fosforos' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Based on the distribution chart, Compania Chilena de Fosforos ranks #200 out of 240 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Compania Chilena de Fosforos has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Compania Chilena de Fosforos' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Compania Chilena de Fosforos ranks #200 out of 240 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Compania Chilena de Fosforos in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.16. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Forest Products company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Forest Products companies is 3.16, based on 240 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Compania Chilena de Fosforos and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 3.16 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Compania Chilena de Fosforos's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Compania Chilena de Fosforos stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CLP456.54, compared to a current price of CLP379.99 — trading 16.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Compania Chilena de Fosforos' overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Compania Chilena de Fosforos (XSGO:FOSFOROS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Compania Chilena de Fosforos stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CLP379.99 is trading 16.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of CLP456.54. GuruFocus considers Compania Chilena de Fosforos to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for XSGO:FOSFOROS:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
  • GF Value™: CLP456.54 vs. price of CLP379.99 (16.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSGO:FOSFOROS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Compania Chilena de Fosforos Business Description

Address Avenida Los Conquistadores No. 1700, 15th Floor, Providencia, Santiago, CHL
Compania Chilena de Fosforos SA manufactures and trades safety matches and various other microwood products. Its product offerings include splints, matches, ice cream sticks, chopsticks, and paint palettes among others. It is also involved in agriculture, and fruit plantations by producing and marketing fruits such as blueberries, apples, wine grapes, and cherries. The company's operating segments are; Products associated with ignition, Agricultural activity, and Wood products. Maximum revenue is derived from the Products associated with ignition segment which includes the sale of household matches. Geographically, a majority of the firm's revenue is generated through the export of its products to markets like the United States, Peru, Brazil, Fiji, Japan, Europe, China, and others.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSGO:FOSFOROS

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CLP379.99
Price
CLP456.54
GF Value