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Ford Motor CoXSWX:F -0.44%65 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF26.08 as of Aug. 11, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.40. GuruFocus rates XSWX:F with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF9.76. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 938 Vehicles & Parts companies, Ford Motor Co ranks better than 80.06% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-11), Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF26.08. The stock price of Ford Motor Co is CHF11.342. Therefore, Ford Motor Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.
The historical rank and industry rank for Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
XSWX:F'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18 Med: 0.4 Max: 0.58
Current: 0.43
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ford Motor Co was 0.58. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 0.40.
XSWX:F's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 80.06% of 938
companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 0.98
vs XSWX:F: 0.43
Ford Motor Co (XSWX:F) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Ford Motor Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
11.342
/
25.889548091291
=
0.44
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
XSWX:F vs GM, RIVN, LI: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Ford Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Ford Motor Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry
For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ford Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ford Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Ford Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF26.08 mean?
Ford Motor Co (XSWX:F) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF26.08 as of Aug. 11, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Ford Motor Co and its competitors. This is 6420% above median its historical median of 0.40. Over the past decade, Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.18 to 0.58. According to the industry distribution chart, Ford Motor Co ranks #187 out of 938 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 19.9%.
Is Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Ford Motor Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF26.08 is 6420% above median its 10-year median of 0.40. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.18 to a high of 0.58. Based on the distribution chart, Ford Motor Co ranks #187 out of 938 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Ford Motor Co has a GF Score™ of 65/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ford Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to GM and RIVN?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Ford Motor Co ranks #187 out of 938 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Ford Motor Co in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.98. Historically, Ford Motor Co's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.18 to 0.58 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Vehicles & Parts companies is 0.98, based on 938 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Ford Motor Co and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.98 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ford Motor Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF26.08, which is 6420% above median its own 10-year median of 0.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ford Motor Co stock overvalued right now?
Ford Motor Co (XSWX:F) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF26.08. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF9.76, compared to a current price of CHF11.34 — trading 16.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF26.08, which is 6420% above median its 10-year median of 0.40. Ford Motor Co's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ford Motor Co (XSWX:F), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF26.08 as of Aug. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Ford Motor Co (XSWX:F) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ford Motor Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of CHF11.34 is trading 16.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF9.76.
Key valuation signals for XSWX:F:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF26.08 (6420% above median its 10-year median of 0.40)
GF Value™: CHF9.76 vs. price of CHF11.34 (16.2% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:F stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Ford Motor Co. manufactures automobiles under its Ford and Lincoln brands. In March 2022, the company announced that it will run its combustion engine business, Ford Blue, and its BEV business, Ford Model e, as separate businesses but still all under Ford Motor. The company has over 13% market share in the United States, about 10% share in the UK, and just over 1% share in China including Taiwan and unconsolidated affiliates. Sales in the US made up about 65% of 2025 total company revenue. Ford has about 169,000 employees, including about 56,300 UAW employees, and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
65GF Score
Get the complete analysis for XSWX:F
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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