Palantir Technologies (XSWX:PLTR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF7.18 (As of Aug. 22, 2026) — 74% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSWX:PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc XSWX:PLTR
57 GF Score
Price CHF142.24
GF Value CHF135.30
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Palantir Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Palantir Technologies XSWX:PLTR +1.61% 57 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF7.18 as of Aug. 22, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 27.77. GuruFocus rates XSWX:PLTR with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF135.30 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,462 Software companies, Palantir Technologies ranks worse than 95.96% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-22), Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF7.18. The stock price of Palantir Technologies is CHF142.24. Therefore, Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 19.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:PLTR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 12.85   Med: 27.77   Max: 37.25
Current: 19.81

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Palantir Technologies was 37.25. The lowest was 12.85. And the median was 27.77.

XSWX:PLTR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
95.96% of 1462 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.45 vs XSWX:PLTR: 19.81

Palantir Technologies  (XSWX:PLTR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=142.24/7.307545944157
=19.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Palantir Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Palantir Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Palantir Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Palantir Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Palantir Technologies Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.69 7.34

XSWX:PLTR vs PANW, ORCL, CRWD: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Palantir Technologies Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


XSWX:PLTR
57GF Score
Palantir Technologies Inc XSWX:PLTR
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Palantir Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Palantir Technologies's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = CHF871.80.

Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.362038579862*871.80096+7812.513*0.8)/2568.694
=7.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF7.18 mean?
Palantir Technologies (XSWX:PLTR) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF7.18 as of Aug. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Palantir Technologies and its competitors. This is 74% below median its historical median of 27.77. Over the past decade, Palantir Technologies' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 12.85 to 37.25. According to the industry distribution chart, Palantir Technologies ranks #1403 out of 1462 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 96%.
Is Palantir Technologies' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Palantir Technologies' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF7.18 is 74% below median its 10-year median of 27.77. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 12.85 to a high of 37.25. Based on the distribution chart, Palantir Technologies ranks #1403 out of 1462 companies in the Software industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Palantir Technologies has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Palantir Technologies' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to PANW and ORCL?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Palantir Technologies ranks #1403 out of 1462 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Palantir Technologies in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.45. Historically, Palantir Technologies' own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 12.85 to 37.25 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Software companies is 1.45, based on 1,462 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Palantir Technologies and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Palantir Technologies's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF7.18, which is 74% below median its own 10-year median of 27.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Palantir Technologies stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Palantir Technologies (XSWX:PLTR) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF135.30, compared to a current price of CHF142.24 — trading 5.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF7.18, which is 74% below median its 10-year median of 27.77. Palantir Technologies' overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Palantir Technologies (XSWX:PLTR), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF7.18 as of Aug. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Palantir Technologies (XSWX:PLTR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Palantir Technologies stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF142.24 is trading 5.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF135.30. GuruFocus considers Palantir Technologies to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:PLTR:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF7.18 (74% below median its 10-year median of 27.77)
  • GF Value™: CHF135.30 vs. price of CHF142.24 (5.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:PLTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Palantir Technologies Business Description

Address 19505 Biscayne Boulevard, Suite 2350, Aventura, FL, USA, 33180
Palantir is an artificial intelligence, analytics, and automated decision-making company that leverages data to drive efficiency across its clients' organizations. The firm serves commercial and government clients via its Foundry and Gotham platforms, respectively. Palantir works only with entities in Western-allied nations and reserves the right not to work with anyone that is antithetical to Western values. The company was founded in 2003 and went public in 2020.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:PLTR

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF142.24
Price
CHF135.30
GF Value