GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Glacier Bancorp Inc (NYSE:GBCI) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Glacier Bancorp (Glacier Bancorp) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $46.98 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1992. Start your Free Trial

What is Glacier Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Glacier Bancorp's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $46.98.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Glacier Bancorp's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Glacier Bancorp is 20.99%.

The industry rank for Glacier Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GBCI's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked worse than
78.01% of 482 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.44 vs GBCI: 0.79

Glacier Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Glacier Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Glacier Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Glacier Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 30.14 84.81 50.40 50.83

Glacier Bancorp Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.15 49.85 44.40 50.83 -

Competitive Comparison of Glacier Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Glacier Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Glacier Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Glacier Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Glacier Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Glacier Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Glacier Bancorp's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 3.80%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $4.071.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Glacier Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=4.071*11.5406
=46.98

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(46.98-37.12)/46.98
=20.99 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Glacier Bancorp  (NYSE:GBCI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Glacier Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Glacier Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Glacier Bancorp (Glacier Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
49 Commons Loop, Kalispell, MT, USA, 59901-2679
Glacier Bancorp Inc is a regional bank holding company providing commercial banking services to scores of communities through its wholly-owned bank subsidiary, Glacier Bank. The bank operates a multitude of banking offices in Montana, Idaho, Colorado, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. The bank's wide range of products and services include deposit, loans, and mortgage origination services, among others. The bank primarily serves individuals, small- to medium-sized businesses, community organizations, and public entities. Glacier's strategy emphasizes both internal growth and growth through selective acquisitions. A majority of the bank's loan portfolio is in commercial real estate, while a majority of its net revenue is net interest income.
Executives
Don J. Chery officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT/CAO 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901
Randall M Chesler officer: Glacier Bank President 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901
Craig A Langel director 3819 STEPHENS AVENUE, MISSOULA MT 59801
Ron J Copher officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT/CFO
Jesus Thomas Espinoza director 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901
David C Boyles director 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901
Kristen Lee Heck director 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901
Michael Burke Hormaechea director 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901
Cashell Robert A. Jr director 1505 SOUTH PAVILION CENTER DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89135
Sherry Leigh Cladouhos director 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901
John W Murdoch director 217 RIDGE TRAIL, BOZEMAN MT 59715
James M English director P.O. BOX 2875, HAYDEN ID 83835
Michael J Blodnick director, officer: PRESIDENT/CEO
George R Sutton director 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901
Douglas J Mcbride director 49 COMMONS LOOP, KALISPELL MT 59901

Glacier Bancorp (Glacier Bancorp) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend

By GlobeNewswire 06-29-2023

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend

By Value_Insider Value_Insider 11-16-2022

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 11-17-2021

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 07-09-2022

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. Increases Quarterly Dividend

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 03-30-2022

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. Declares Special Dividend

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 12-29-2021