GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » LCNB Corp (NAS:LCNB) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

LCNB (LCNB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $14.44 (As of May. 12, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1998. Start your Free Trial

What is LCNB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-12), LCNB's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $14.44.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

LCNB's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for LCNB is -1.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for LCNB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LCNB' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.83   Med: 0.9   Max: 1.54
Current: 1.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of LCNB was 1.54. The lowest was 0.83. And the median was 0.90.

LCNB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
79.78% of 554 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.68 vs LCNB: 1.01

LCNB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for LCNB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

LCNB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

LCNB Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 22.05 21.69 17.53

LCNB Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.57 21.12 18.59 17.53 -

Competitive Comparison of LCNB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, LCNB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


LCNB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, LCNB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LCNB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



LCNB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> LCNB's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 3.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.251.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

LCNB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.251*11.5406
=14.44

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (14.44 - 14.65) / 14.44
= -1.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


LCNB  (NAS:LCNB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


LCNB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of LCNB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


LCNB (LCNB) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » LCNB Corp (NAS:LCNB) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2 North Broadway, P.O. Box 59, Lebanon, OH, USA, 45036
LCNB Corp operates within the financial sector in the United States. As the holding company of the National Bank, it conducts the business of providing commercial and personal banking services. Its suite of banking products includes commercial and industrial loans, consumer loans, safe deposit boxes, night depositories, cashier's checks, utility bill collections, and notary public service. Besides, it provides the avenue of United States Treasury notes, the United States agency notes, certificates of deposit and equity securities.
Executives
Takeitha W Lawson director 7313 ENGLISH GARDEN LANE, ANDERSON TOWNSHIP OH 45230
Anne E Krehbiel director 7709 CHUMANI LANE, CINCINNATI OH 45243
Craig Millis Johnson director 3436 WHITFIELD AVE, CINCINNATI OH 45220
Michael Robert Miller officer: Exec. Vice President 8368 SQUIRRELL RIDGE DR, CINCINNATI OH 45243
Eric J Meilstrup officer: EVP/Cashier 225 DICKENS COURT, LEBANON OH 45036
Mulligan Lawrence P Jr. officer: Executive Vice President 218 S MAIN ST, MIDDLETOWN OH 45044
Steve P Foster director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1017 COUNTRY CREEK DR, LEBONON OH 45036
Mary E Bradford director 4962 THUNDER RD, CLEVES OH 45002
William H Kaufman director 1017 COUNTRY CREEK DR, LEBONON OH 45036
William G Huddle director 9394 DIN EIDYN DR, DUBLIN OH 43017
Stephen P Wilson director, officer: President & CEO
John F Smiley officer: Exec Vice President 7119 COVENTRY WOODS DRIVE, DUBLIN OH 43017
Michael J Johrendt director 434 TARPON BLVD, FRIPP ISLAND SC 29920
Bradley Austin Ruppert officer: Executive Vice President 180 LAKEVIEW DR, FRANKLIN OH 45005
Leroy F Mckay officer: Executive Vice President 257 MECHANIC STREET, LEBANON OH 45036