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Carvana Co (Carvana Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-51.62 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Carvana Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Carvana Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-51.62. The stock price of Carvana Co is $84.31. Therefore, Carvana Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carvana Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CVNA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Vehicles & Parts industry.
Industry Median: 1.08
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Carvana Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carvana Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carvana Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Carvana Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -106.22 -183.35 -51.62

Carvana Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -183.35 -183.28 -159.04 -59.57 -51.62

Competitive Comparison of Carvana Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Carvana Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carvana Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carvana Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carvana Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Carvana Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Carvana Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-1,102.08.

Carvana Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.056836766857*-1102.08+243*0.8)/210.940
=-51.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Carvana Co  (NYSE:CVNA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Carvana Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=84.31/-51.621497411668
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Carvana Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Carvana Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Carvana Co (Carvana Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
300 E. Rio Salado Parkway, Tempe, AZ, USA, 85281
Carvana Co is an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. The company derives revenue from used vehicle sales, wholesale vehicle sales and other sales and revenues. The other sales and revenues include sales of loans originated and sold in securitization transactions or to financing partners, commissions received on VSCs and sales of GAP waiver coverage. The foundation of the business is retail vehicle unit sales. This drives the majority of the revenue and allows the company to capture additional revenue streams associated with financing, VSCs, auto insurance and GAP waiver coverage, as well as trade-in vehicles.
Executives
Paul W. Breaux officer: See Remarks 300 E RIO SALADO PKWY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Ecg Ii Spe, Llc 10 percent owner 1720 W. RIO SALADO PARKWAY, SUITE A, TEMPE AZ 85281
Thomas Taira officer: President, Special Projects 300 E RIO SALADO PKWY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Daniel J. Gill officer: Chief Product Officer 300 E RIO SALADO PKWY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Gregory B Sullivan director 1930 W. RIO SALADO PARKWAY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Ira J. Platt director 65 STURGES HWY, WESTPORT CT 06880
Michael E Maroone director 909 POINCIANA DRIVE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Garcia Ernest C Ii 10 percent owner 100 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75201
Ryan S. Keeton officer: Chief Brand Officer 300 E RIO SALADO PKWY, TEMPE AZ 85281
J Danforth Quayle director 1930 W. RIO SALADO PARKWAY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Garcia Ernest C. Iii director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 300 E RIO SALADO PKWY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Benjamin E. Huston officer: Chief Operating Officer 300 E RIO SALADO PKWY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Mark W. Jenkins officer: Chief Financial Officer 300 E RIO SALADO PKWY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Stephen R Palmer officer: Vice President of Accounting 1930 W RIO SALADO PKWY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Neha Parikh director 1930 W. RIO SALADO PARKWAY, TEMPE AZ 85281