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CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTT-Correios de Portugal) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $36.81 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $36.81. The stock price of CTT-Correios de Portugal is $8.015. Therefore, CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CTTPY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17   Med: 0.31   Max: 0.43
Current: 0.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of CTT-Correios de Portugal was 0.43. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 0.31.

CTTPY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
93.13% of 699 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs CTTPY: 0.22

CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

CTT-Correios de Portugal Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.35 24.39 23.69 22.08 43.24

CTT-Correios de Portugal Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.08 19.82 25.32 28.03 43.24

Competitive Comparison of CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get CTT-Correios de Portugal's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $298.28.

CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*298.27568+274.405*0.8)/70.168
=43.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CTT-Correios de Portugal  (GREY:CTTPY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.015/43.598411613919
=0.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTT-Correios de Portugal) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenida dos Combatentes 43, No.1643-0011, 4th Floor, Lisbon, PRT, 1999-001
CTT-Correios de Portugal SA is a logistics company domiciled in Portugal. The company organizes itself into four segments: mail, express and parcels, financial services, and bank. The mail segment, which generates a vast majority of the company's revenue, provides mail postal services to business customers, distribution of advertising materials, and postal communication solutions, among others. Express and parcels, the next largest segment, provides parcel postal and courier services. The company provides financial services such as payment processing and retail banking through both the financial services segment and the bank segment. The company earns most of its revenue domestically.

CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTT-Correios de Portugal) Headlines