CTTPY (CTT-Correios de Portugal) Beneish M-Score: -2.22 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


CTTPY CTT-Correios de Portugal SA CTTPY
73 GF Score
Price $15.90
GF Value $16.07
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is CTT-Correios de Portugal Beneish M-Score?

CTT-Correios de Portugal CTTPY +98.38% 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates CTTPY with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $16.07. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, CTT-Correios de Portugal ranks worse than 72.77% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.22 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CTT-Correios de Portugal's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CTTPY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -38.77   Med: -2.76   Max: -1.49
Current: -2.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CTT-Correios de Portugal was -1.49. The lowest was -38.77. And the median was -2.76.


CTT-Correios de Portugal Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CTT-Correios de Portugal's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CTT-Correios de Portugal Beneish M-Score Chart

CTT-Correios de Portugal Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.49 -1.93 -3.95 -3.04 -2.22

CTT-Correios de Portugal Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.22

CTTPY vs FDX, UPS, JBHT: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, CTT-Correios de Portugal's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CTT-Correios de Portugal Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, CTT-Correios de Portugal's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CTT-Correios de Portugal's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CTTPY
73GF Score
CTT-Correios de Portugal SA CTTPY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CTT-Correios de Portugal Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CTT-Correios de Portugal for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1145+0.528 * 0.9408+0.404 * 1.2757+0.892 * 1.2948+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.017253-0.327 * 0.9515
=-2.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $534 Mil.
Revenue was $1,442 Mil.
Gross Profit was $118 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,309 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,294 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $430 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,762 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $590 Mil.
Net Income was $59 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $185 Mil.
Total Receivables was $370 Mil.
Revenue was $1,114 Mil.
Gross Profit was $86 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,339 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,978 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $355 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,023 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $449 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(534.084 / 1442.393) / (370.09 / 1113.966)
=0.370276 / 0.332227
=1.1145

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(85.886 / 1113.966) / (118.21 / 1442.393)
=0.077099 / 0.081954
=0.9408

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3308.639 + 429.923) / 7293.658) / (1 - (3339.157 + 354.684) / 5977.8)
=0.487423 / 0.382074
=1.2757

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1442.393 / 1113.966
=1.2948

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 354.684)) / (0 / (0 + 429.923))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1442.393) / (0 / 1113.966)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((590.056 + 5762.48) / 7293.658) / ((449.236 + 5022.643) / 5977.8)
=0.870967 / 0.915367
=0.9515

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(59.378 - 0 - 185.219) / 7293.658
=-0.017253

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CTT-Correios de Portugal has a M-score of -2.10 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 mean?
CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTTPY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CTT-Correios de Portugal and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CTT-Correios de Portugal ranks #703 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 72.8%.
Is CTT-Correios de Portugal's Beneish M-Score too high?
CTT-Correios de Portugal's current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Based on the distribution chart, CTT-Correios de Portugal ranks #703 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, CTT-Correios de Portugal has a GF Score™ of 73/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CTT-Correios de Portugal's Beneish M-Score compare to FDX and UPS?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, CTT-Correios de Portugal ranks #703 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places CTT-Correios de Portugal in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CTT-Correios de Portugal and its competitors. CTT-Correios de Portugal's current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CTT-Correios de Portugal stock overvalued right now?
CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTTPY) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.22. The stock's GF Value™ is $16.07, compared to a current price of $15.90 — trading 1.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. CTT-Correios de Portugal's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTTPY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTTPY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CTT-Correios de Portugal stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $15.90 is trading 1.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $16.07.

Key valuation signals for CTTPY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.22
  • GF Value™: $16.07 vs. price of $15.90 (1.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CTTPY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CTT-Correios de Portugal Business Description

Address Avenida dos Combatentes 43, No.1643-001, 4th Floor, Lisbon, PRT, 1999-001
CTT-Correios de Portugal SA operates in the postal and logistics sector, with operations organised into the segments Mail & Services, Express & Parcels, E-commerce Solutions, and Financial Services. The Mail & Services area comprises Mail, Business Solutions, and Financial and Retail Services. Mail is the main business, Business Solutions uses digitalisation to strengthen customer relationships, and Financial and Retail Services are supported by the retail network. Products and services include mail delivery, express and shipping solutions such as Basic Mail, Track Mail, and Express for Tomorrow, digital platforms, document management, business process services, payments, financial intermediation, insurance, and retail services. It operates in Portugal, Spain and the rest of the world.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CTTPY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$15.90
Price
$16.07
GF Value