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Alerus Financial (Alerus Financial) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $36.71 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Alerus Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Alerus Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $36.71. The stock price of Alerus Financial is $20.45. Therefore, Alerus Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alerus Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALRS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.56   Med: 0.76   Max: 1.19
Current: 0.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alerus Financial was 1.19. The lowest was 0.56. And the median was 0.76.

ALRS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
66.12% of 1216 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.435 vs ALRS: 0.56

Alerus Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alerus Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alerus Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alerus Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.09 22.93 38.41 38.97 36.71

Alerus Financial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.97 35.56 35.78 36.93 36.71

Competitive Comparison of Alerus Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Alerus Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alerus Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Alerus Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alerus Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Alerus Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alerus Financial's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $46.06.

Alerus Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*46.06368+369.127*0.8)/19.993
=36.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alerus Financial  (NAS:ALRS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alerus Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=20.45/36.705048237084
=0.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alerus Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alerus Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alerus Financial (Alerus Financial) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
401 Demers Avenue, Grand Forks, ND, USA, 58201
Alerus Financial Corp is a financial holding company registered in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Banking, Retirement & Benefit Services, Wealth Management, and Mortgage. It provides various banking services such as checking, debit cards, savings, current deposits, loans and advances, online banking, mobile banking, private banking, payment solutions, and other business products. Additionally, the company provides mortgage loans, retirement planning solutions, individual retirement accounts, retirement plan advisory services as well as wealth management services, including financial & estate planning, trust, and fiduciary services. The company's revenue mainly consists of interest income, commission, management fees, and other income.
Executives
Kari Koob officer: Director of Accounting 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Alan Villalon officer: Chief Financial Officer 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Galen G Vetter director 500 EAST GRANT STREET, #2011, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55404
Katie A Lorenson officer: Executive Vice President/ CFO 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Janet O Estep director 6060 COVENTRY DRIVE, ELKHORN NE 68022
Jerrod Hanson officer: Chief Accounting Officer 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Jon Hendry officer: Chief Technology Officer & EVP 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Missy Keney officer: Chief Engagement Officer & EVP 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Jim Collins officer: EVP, CBO & CRO 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Jill Schurtz director 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Mary Zimmer director 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Ryan Goldberg officer: Chief Revenue Officer 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Karen Bohn director 215 S CASCADE ST, FERGUS FALLS MN 565372801
Kris Compton officer: Executive Vice President/ CSO 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201
Ann Mcconn officer: Executive Vice President/ CBO 401 DEMERS AVENUE, GRAND FORKS ND 58201