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National Security Group (National Security Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is National Security Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), National Security Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of National Security Group is $16.36. Therefore, National Security Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Security Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NSEC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 0.65
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

National Security Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Security Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Security Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

National Security Group Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.05 29.86 35.52 16.76 15.54

National Security Group Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.90 17.83 17.72 15.54 16.38

Competitive Comparison of National Security Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, National Security Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Security Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, National Security Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Security Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



National Security Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get National Security Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $0.97.

National Security Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*0.96752+40.339*0.8)/2.533
=16.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


National Security Group  (NAS:NSEC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

National Security Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=16.36/16.376759011499
=1.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


National Security Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of National Security Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


National Security Group (National Security Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
661 East Davis Street, P.O. Box 703, Elba, AL, USA, 36323
National Security Group Inc is an insurance holding company. The company operates through two segments namely Property and casualty insurance, and Life insurance. Its Property and casualty segment primarily write personal lines dwelling coverage including dwelling fire and windstorm, homeowners and mobile homeowners lines of insurance and the company's Life insurance segment offers a basic line of life and health and accident insurance products in around seven states. Geographically, it operates in the region of the United States and derives most of the revenue from the Property and casualty insurance segment.
Executives
Fred Jr Clark director 661 EAST DAVIS ELBA AL 36323
Andrew J. Abernathey 10 percent owner 3523 45TH STREET SOUTH SUITE 100 FARGO ND 58104
Brian R Mcleod officer: Chief Financial Officer 661 EAST DAVIS ELBA AL 36323
Donald S Pittman director 661 EAST DAVIS ELBA AL 36323
Charles B Arnold director 2161 MILL GARDEN RUN BUFORD GA 30519
Elizabeth B Crawford director 4100 CRESCENT ROAD BIRMINGHAM AL 35222
Carolyn E Brunson 10 percent owner 661 EAST DAVIS ELBA AL 36323
Meridian Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 819 30TH AVENUE SOUTH SUITE 206A MOORHEAD MN 56560
Brunson William L Jr officer: Chief Executive Officer 661 EAST DAVIS ELBA AL 36323
Paul C Wesch director 661 EAST DAVIS ELBA AL 36323
L Brunson White director 661 EAST DAVIS ELBA AL 36323
Drayton Jr Nabers director 605 RICHARD ARRINGTON JR BLVD N, BIRMINGHAM AL 35203-2707
O Neil Frank B director
J R Brunson director 661 EAST DAVIS ELBA AL 36323
Fleming G Brooks director

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