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Deckers Outdoor (Deckers Outdoor) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $359.98 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Deckers Outdoor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Deckers Outdoor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $359.98. The stock price of Deckers Outdoor is $830.14. Therefore, Deckers Outdoor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Deckers Outdoor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DECK' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59   Med: 1.55   Max: 4.39
Current: 2.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Deckers Outdoor was 4.39. The lowest was 0.59. And the median was 1.55.

DECK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
78.04% of 765 companies
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry
Industry Median: 0.91 vs DECK: 2.31

Deckers Outdoor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Deckers Outdoor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Deckers Outdoor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Deckers Outdoor Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 97.97 108.59 151.71 190.56 236.34

Deckers Outdoor Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 273.18 236.34 245.69 245.07 359.98

Competitive Comparison of Deckers Outdoor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Deckers Outdoor's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Deckers Outdoor's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Deckers Outdoor's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Deckers Outdoor's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Deckers Outdoor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Deckers Outdoor's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $511.89.

Deckers Outdoor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*511.888+2104.19*0.8)/25.811
=359.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Deckers Outdoor  (NYSE:DECK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Deckers Outdoor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=830.14/359.97698182143
=2.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Deckers Outdoor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Deckers Outdoor (Deckers Outdoor) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
250 Coromar Drive, Goleta, CA, USA, 93117
Deckers Outdoor Corp designs and sells casual and performance footwear, apparel, and accessories. Primary brands include UGG, Teva, and Sanuk. The company distributes Most of its products through its wholesale business, but it also has a substantial direct-to-consumer business with its company-owned retail stores and websites. Most sales are in the United States, although the company also has retail stores and distributors throughout Europe, Asia, Canada, and Latin America. Deckers sources its products from independent manufacturers primarily in Asia.
Executives
David Powers officer: President, Direct to Consumer 495-A SOUTH FAIRVIEW AVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Caroti Stefano officer: President of Omni Channel 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Devine Michael F Iii director COACH, 516 W 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 1001
Thomas Garcia officer: SVP, General Counsel 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Steven J. Fasching officer: Chief Financial Officer 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Angela Ogbechie officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Lauri M Shanahan director C/O THE GAP, INC., TWO FOLSOM STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105-1205
Bonita C. Stewart director 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Anne Spangenberg officer: President, Fashion Lifestyle 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
David E. Lafitte officer: COO 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Wendy W Yang officer: President, PLG 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
David A Burwick director 32 AUTUMN LANE, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Maha Saleh Ibrahim director 2765 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Andrea O'donnell officer: President, Fashion Lifestyle 250 COROMAR DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Victor Luis director 10 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001