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Needs Well (TSE:3992) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円387.16 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Needs Well Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-30), Needs Well's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円387.16. The stock price of Needs Well is 円846.00. Therefore, Needs Well's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Needs Well's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3992' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.07   Med: 1.22   Max: 2.19
Current: 2.19

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Needs Well was 2.19. The lowest was 1.07. And the median was 1.22.

TSE:3992's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
62.16% of 1258 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.625 vs TSE:3992: 2.19

Needs Well Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Needs Well's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Needs Well Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Needs Well Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 301.81 288.63 387.16

Needs Well Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 387.16 -

Competitive Comparison of Needs Well's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Needs Well's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Needs Well's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Needs Well's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Needs Well's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Needs Well Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Needs Well's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円413.75.

Needs Well's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.222205783355*413.752+3705.71*0.8)/19.650
=387.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Needs Well  (TSE:3992) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Needs Well's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=846.00/387.16427925063
=2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Needs Well Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Needs Well's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Needs Well (TSE:3992) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
13-15 South Tower, Tomihisa-cho Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 162-0067
Needs Well Inc provides application development, cloud solutions, IT related products and services, system infrastructure service and IT outsourcing services. Its services support to the development of BtoC / BtoB system, digital marketing related system, business system, CMS using web technology.

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