Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 4.81% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


ASX:EVN Evolution Mining Ltd ASX:EVN
92 GF Score
Price A$11.88
GF Value A$8.32
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Evolution Mining Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

Evolution Mining ASX:EVN -3.81% 92 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 4.81% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:EVN with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of A$8.32 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), Evolution Mining's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars. Evolution Mining's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is A$12.48 and current share price is A$11.88. Consequently,

Evolution Mining's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is 4.81%.

ASX:EVN vs NEM, AU: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Evolution Mining's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Evolution Mining Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Evolution Mining's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Evolution Mining's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


ASX:EVN
92GF Score
Evolution Mining Ltd ASX:EVN
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Evolution Mining Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

Evolution Mining's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(12.48-11.88)/12.48
=4.81 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 4.81% mean?
Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 4.81% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Evolution Mining.
Is Evolution Mining's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
Evolution Mining's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 4.81%. Overall, Evolution Mining has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Evolution Mining's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to NEM and AU?
Evolution Mining's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 4.81% can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Evolution Mining. Evolution Mining's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 4.81%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Evolution Mining stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$8.32, compared to a current price of A$11.88 — trading 42.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 4.81%. Evolution Mining's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 4.81% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Evolution Mining stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$11.88 is trading 42.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$8.32. GuruFocus considers Evolution Mining to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:EVN:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 4.81%
  • GF Value™: A$8.32 vs. price of A$11.88 (42.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:EVN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Evolution Mining Business Description

Address 175 Liverpool Street, Level 24, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Evolution Mining is an Australia-based gold miner. It sold around 750,000 ounces of gold in fiscal 2025 from six wholly or majority owned mines in Australia and Canada. Formed in 2011 via the merger of Conquest Mining and Catalpa Resources and the purchase of Newcrest Mining's Mt Rawdon and Cracow mines, Evolution has acquired more mines and sold the generally less attractive, higher-cost mines. Cowal and Mungari were purchased in 2015, with an initial interest in Glencore's Ernest Henry mine following in 2016, Red Lake in Canada in 2020, the rest of Ernest Henry in 2022 and an 80% stake in the Northparkes copper and gold mine in December 2023. It had roughly 15 years of gold reserves and two decades of copper reserves at the end of December 2024.
92GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$11.88
Price
A$8.32
GF Value