Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:EVN Evolution Mining Ltd ASX:EVN
92 GF Score
Price A$10.53
GF Value A$8.13
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Evolution Mining Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Evolution Mining is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Evolution Mining  (ASX:EVN) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Evolution Mining Risk Assessment Related Terms

ASX:EVN vs NEM, AU: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Evolution Mining's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Evolution Mining Risk Assessment vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Evolution Mining's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Evolution Mining's Risk Assessment falls into.


ASX:EVN
92GF Score
Evolution Mining Ltd ASX:EVN
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Evolution Mining stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$10.53 is trading 29.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$8.13. GuruFocus considers Evolution Mining to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:EVN:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: A$8.13 vs. price of A$10.53 (29.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:EVN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Evolution Mining Business Description

Address 175 Liverpool Street, Level 24, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Evolution Mining is an Australia-based gold miner. It sold around 750,000 ounces of gold in fiscal 2025 from six wholly or majority owned mines in Australia and Canada. Formed in 2011 via the merger of Conquest Mining and Catalpa Resources and the purchase of Newcrest Mining's Mt Rawdon and Cracow mines, Evolution has acquired more mines and sold the generally less attractive, higher-cost mines. Cowal and Mungari were purchased in 2015, with an initial interest in Glencore's Ernest Henry mine following in 2016, Red Lake in Canada in 2020, the rest of Ernest Henry in 2022 and an 80% stake in the Northparkes copper and gold mine in December 2023. It had roughly 15 years of gold reserves and two decades of copper reserves at the end of December 2024.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:EVN

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$10.53
Price
A$8.13
GF Value