Amazon.com (FRA:AMZ1) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): -9.99% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:AMZ1 Amazon.com Inc FRA:AMZ1
95 GF Score
Price €16.40
GF Value €16.33
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Amazon.com Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

Amazon.com FRA:AMZ1 -4.65% 95 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -9.99% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:AMZ1 with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of €16.33 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-24), Amazon.com's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars. Amazon.com's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is €14.91 and current share price is €16.40. Consequently,

Amazon.com's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is -9.99%.

FRA:AMZ1 vs BABA, PDD, MELI: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Amazon.com's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Amazon.com Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Amazon.com's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amazon.com's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


FRA:AMZ1
95GF Score
Amazon.com Inc FRA:AMZ1
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Amazon.com Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

Amazon.com's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(14.91-16.40)/14.91
=-9.99 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -9.99% mean?
Amazon.com (FRA:AMZ1) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -9.99% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Amazon.com.
Is Amazon.com's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
Amazon.com's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -9.99%. Overall, Amazon.com has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Amazon.com's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to BABA and PDD?
Amazon.com's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -9.99% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Amazon.com. Amazon.com's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -9.99%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Amazon.com stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Amazon.com (FRA:AMZ1) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €16.33, compared to a current price of €16.40 — trading 0.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -9.99%. Amazon.com's overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Amazon.com (FRA:AMZ1), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -9.99% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Amazon.com (FRA:AMZ1) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Amazon.com stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €16.40 is trading 0.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of €16.33. GuruFocus considers Amazon.com to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:AMZ1:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): -9.99%
  • GF Value™: €16.33 vs. price of €16.40 (0.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:AMZ1 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Amazon.com Business Description

Address 410 Terry Avenue North, Seattle, WA, USA, 98109-5210
Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
95GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:AMZ1

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€16.40
Price
€16.33
GF Value