CPFL Energia (BSP:CPFE3) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 36.48% (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BSP:CPFE3 CPFL Energia SA BSP:CPFE3
76 GF Score
Price R$47.20
GF Value R$38.15
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is CPFL Energia Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

CPFL Energia BSP:CPFE3 +0.77% 76 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 36.48% as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:CPFE3 with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of R$38.15 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-07-15), CPFL Energia's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars. CPFL Energia's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is R$162.03 and current share price is R$47.20. Consequently,

CPFL Energia's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 36.48%.

BSP:CPFE3 vs NEE, SO, DUK: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, CPFL Energia's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

CPFL Energia Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, CPFL Energia's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CPFL Energia's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


BSP:CPFE3
76GF Score
CPFL Energia SA BSP:CPFE3
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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CPFL Energia Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

CPFL Energia's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(74.31-47.20)/74.31
=36.48 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 36.48% mean?
CPFL Energia (BSP:CPFE3) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 36.48% as of Jul. 15, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on CPFL Energia.
Is CPFL Energia's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
CPFL Energia's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 36.48%. Overall, CPFL Energia has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CPFL Energia's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to NEE and SO?
CPFL Energia's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 36.48% can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on CPFL Energia. CPFL Energia's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 36.48%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CPFL Energia stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CPFL Energia (BSP:CPFE3) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$38.15, compared to a current price of R$47.20 — trading 23.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 36.48%. CPFL Energia's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CPFL Energia (BSP:CPFE3), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 36.48% as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CPFL Energia (BSP:CPFE3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CPFL Energia stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$47.20 is trading 23.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$38.15. GuruFocus considers CPFL Energia to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:CPFE3:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 36.48%
  • GF Value™: R$38.15 vs. price of R$47.20 (23.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:CPFE3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

CPFL Energia Business Description

Address Rua Jorge Figueiredo Correa, No. 1632, Jardim Professora Tarcilia, Campinas, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 13087-397
CPFL Energia SA operates as a holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in distribution, generation, transmission and commercialization activities of electric energy in Brazil. It also provides energy-related services through its solutions division, including energy management and trading, energy efficiency services, distributed generation, energy infrastructure development, and consulting services. The company's operating segments are (i) electric energy distribution activities, (ii) electric energy generation, (iii) electric energy transmission, (iv) energy commercialization, (v) service activities, and (vi) other activities not listed in the previous items. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the electric energy distribution segment.
76GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$47.20
Price
R$38.15
GF Value