Ulta Beauty (FRA:34U) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 37.36% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:34U Ulta Beauty Inc FRA:34U
96 GF Score
Price €424.40
GF Value €487.50
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ulta Beauty Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Ulta Beauty FRA:34U +5.21% 96 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 37.36% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:34U with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of €487.50 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-26), Ulta Beauty's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars. Ulta Beauty's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is €665.29 and current share price is €424.40. Consequently,

Ulta Beauty's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 37.36%.

FRA:34U vs WSM, DKS, TSCO: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Ulta Beauty's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Ulta Beauty Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ulta Beauty's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ulta Beauty's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


FRA:34U
96GF Score
Ulta Beauty Inc FRA:34U
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ulta Beauty Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Ulta Beauty's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(677.47-424.40)/677.47
=37.36 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 37.36% mean?
Ulta Beauty (FRA:34U) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 37.36% as of Jun. 26, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Ulta Beauty.
Is Ulta Beauty's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Ulta Beauty's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 37.36%. Overall, Ulta Beauty has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ulta Beauty's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to WSM and DKS?
Ulta Beauty's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 37.36% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Ulta Beauty. Ulta Beauty's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 37.36%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ulta Beauty stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ulta Beauty (FRA:34U) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €487.50, compared to a current price of €424.40 — trading 12.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 37.36%. Ulta Beauty's overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ulta Beauty (FRA:34U), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 37.36% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ulta Beauty (FRA:34U) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ulta Beauty stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €424.40 is trading 12.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €487.50. GuruFocus considers Ulta Beauty to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:34U:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 37.36%
  • GF Value™: €487.50 vs. price of €424.40 (12.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 96/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:34U stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Ulta Beauty Business Description

Address 1000 Remington Boulevard, Suite 120, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the US with more than 1,500 freestanding stores. The firm offers cosmetics (38% of 2025 sales), fragrances (13%), skin care (24%), and hair care products (19%). It also has salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow, that account for 4% of its revenue and drive customer traffic. Outside of the US, Ulta operates premium beauty retailer Space NK (86 stores at year-end 2025 in the UK and Ireland) and has franchised stores in Mexico, and a joint venture in the Middle East. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
96GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:34U

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€424.40
Price
€487.50
GF Value