Ultrapar Participacoes (MEX:UGPN) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): N/A (As of Sep. 22, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:UGPN Ultrapar Participacoes SA MEX:UGPN
76 GF Score
Price MXN98.30
GF Value MXN66.11
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Ultrapar Participacoes Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Ultrapar Participacoes's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is not calculated.

MEX:UGPN vs MPC, VLO, PSX: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Ultrapar Participacoes's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Ultrapar Participacoes Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ultrapar Participacoes's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ultrapar Participacoes's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


MEX:UGPN
76GF Score
Ultrapar Participacoes SA MEX:UGPN
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Ultrapar Participacoes (MEX:UGPN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ultrapar Participacoes stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN98.30 is trading 48.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN66.11.

Key valuation signals for MEX:UGPN:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): N/A
  • GF Value™: MXN66.11 vs. price of MXN98.30 (48.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:UGPN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Ultrapar Participacoes Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Brigadeiro Luis Antonio Avenue, 1343, 9th Floor, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 01317-910
Ultrapar Participacoes SA is a Brazilian holding company that operates in fuel distribution, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and bulk liquid storage through its subsidiaries. Its Ultragaz segment distributes LPG to residential, commercial, industrial, and agribusiness customers in both bottled and bulk form. Ipiranga, the largest segment by revenue, distributes and sells fuels and lubricants to service stations operating under the Ipiranga brand across Brazil. Ultracargo provides specialized liquid bulk storage and logistics services at key port and logistics hubs. The company also holds a stake in Hidrovias do Brasil, which operates waterway and multimodal logistics infrastructure. Ultrapar generates revenue primarily through the sale and distribution of fuels and LPG, storage and logistics service fees, and related activities, serving consumers, businesses, and fuel retailers throughout Brazil and, to a lesser extent, other South American markets.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:UGPN

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN98.30
Price
MXN66.11
GF Value