Bharat Petroleum (NSE:BPCL) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 73.35% (As of Jul. 13, 2026)


NSE:BPCL Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd NSE:BPCL
83 GF Score
Price ₹309.75
GF Value ₹328.75
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Bharat Petroleum Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Bharat Petroleum NSE:BPCL +0.50% 83 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 73.35% as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSE:BPCL with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹328.75 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-07-13), Bharat Petroleum's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars. Bharat Petroleum's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is ₹726.30 and current share price is ₹309.75. Consequently,

Bharat Petroleum's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 73.35%.


NSE:BPCL vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Bharat Petroleum's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bharat Petroleum Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Bharat Petroleum's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bharat Petroleum's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


NSE:BPCL
83GF Score
Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd NSE:BPCL
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Bharat Petroleum Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Bharat Petroleum's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(1162.15-309.75)/1162.15
=73.35 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 73.35% mean?
Bharat Petroleum (NSE:BPCL) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 73.35% as of Jul. 13, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Bharat Petroleum.
Is Bharat Petroleum's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Bharat Petroleum's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 73.35%. Overall, Bharat Petroleum has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bharat Petroleum's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to VLO and MPC?
Bharat Petroleum's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 73.35% can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Bharat Petroleum. Bharat Petroleum's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 73.35%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bharat Petroleum stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bharat Petroleum (NSE:BPCL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹328.75, compared to a current price of ₹309.75 — trading 5.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 73.35%. Bharat Petroleum's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bharat Petroleum (NSE:BPCL), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 73.35% as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bharat Petroleum (NSE:BPCL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bharat Petroleum stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹309.75 is trading 5.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹328.75. GuruFocus considers Bharat Petroleum to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for NSE:BPCL:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 73.35%
  • GF Value™: ₹328.75 vs. price of ₹309.75 (5.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:BPCL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bharat Petroleum Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges 500547:India
Address 4 and 6 Currimbhoy Road, Bharat Bhavan, P.O. Box No. 668, Ballard Estate, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400001
Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd operates several refineries in India, while also marketing and distributing petroleum by-products. Operations are divided into the following reportable segments: Downstream Petroleum, and Exploration and Production of Hydrocarbons. Downstream Petroleum operations which generate the majority of its revenue, include the refineries that produce liquefied petroleum gas, aromatics, kerosene, fuel oil, furnace oil, and bitumen. Bharat's petroleum by-products are often commanded by consumers in aviation, autos, maritime, and many other industrial segments. The Downstream Petroleum operations also include the network of retail service stations across India. Geographically, the company derives a majority of its revenue from India and the rest from other countries.
83GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹309.75
Price
₹328.75
GF Value