Bharat Petroleum (NSE:BPCL) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NSE:BPCL Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd NSE:BPCL
80 GF Score
Price ₹329.95
GF Value ₹343.94
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Bharat Petroleum Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Bharat Petroleum is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Bharat Petroleum  (NSE:BPCL) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Bharat Petroleum Risk Assessment Related Terms

NSE:BPCL vs MPC, VLO, PSX: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Bharat Petroleum's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Bharat Petroleum Risk Assessment vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Bharat Petroleum's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bharat Petroleum's Risk Assessment falls into.


NSE:BPCL
80GF Score
Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd NSE:BPCL
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Bharat Petroleum (NSE:BPCL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bharat Petroleum stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹329.95 is trading 4.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹343.94. GuruFocus considers Bharat Petroleum to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for NSE:BPCL:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: ₹343.94 vs. price of ₹329.95 (4.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:BPCL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Bharat Petroleum Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges 500547:India
Address 4 and 6 Currimbhoy Road, Bharat Bhavan, P.O. Box No. 668, Ballard Estate, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400001
Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd operates several refineries in India, while also marketing and distributing petroleum by-products. Operations are divided into the following reportable segments: Downstream Petroleum, and Exploration and Production of Hydrocarbons. Downstream Petroleum operations which generate the majority of its revenue, include the refineries that produce liquefied petroleum gas, aromatics, kerosene, fuel oil, furnace oil, and bitumen. Bharat's petroleum by-products are often commanded by consumers in aviation, autos, maritime, and many other industrial segments. The Downstream Petroleum operations also include the network of retail service stations across India. Geographically, the company derives a majority of its revenue from India and the rest from other countries.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:BPCL

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹329.95
Price
₹343.94
GF Value