Toll Brothers (STU:TLK) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 57.62% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


STU:TLK Toll Brothers Inc STU:TLK
93 GF Score
Price €141.20
GF Value €120.00
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Toll Brothers Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Toll Brothers STU:TLK +6.49% 93 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 57.62% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:TLK with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of €120.00 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), Toll Brothers's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars. Toll Brothers's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is €356.56 and current share price is €141.20. Consequently,

Toll Brothers's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 57.62%.

STU:TLK vs NVR, IBP, TMHC: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Toll Brothers's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Toll Brothers Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toll Brothers's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toll Brothers's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


STU:TLK
93GF Score
Toll Brothers Inc STU:TLK
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Toll Brothers Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Toll Brothers's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(333.16-141.20)/333.16
=57.62 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 57.62% mean?
Toll Brothers (STU:TLK) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 57.62% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Toll Brothers.
Is Toll Brothers' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Toll Brothers' current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 57.62%. Overall, Toll Brothers has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toll Brothers' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to NVR and IBP?
Toll Brothers' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 57.62% can be compared against companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Homebuilding & Construction company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Homebuilding & Construction industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 57.62%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toll Brothers stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toll Brothers (STU:TLK) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €120.00, compared to a current price of €141.20 — trading 17.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 57.62%. Toll Brothers' overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toll Brothers (STU:TLK), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 57.62% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toll Brothers (STU:TLK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toll Brothers stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €141.20 is trading 17.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €120.00. GuruFocus considers Toll Brothers to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:TLK:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 57.62%
  • GF Value™: €120.00 vs. price of €141.20 (17.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:TLK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Toll Brothers Business Description

Other Exchanges TOL:USA1TOL:Italy0LFS:UK
Address 1140 Virginia Drive, Fort Washington, PA, USA, 19034
Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'. The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-homebuyers. Toll Brothers consistently ranks as a top 10 builder within the US according to total home closings. Traditional homebuilding operations represent most of the company's revenue. Toll Brothers also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers across the US It has its headquarters in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
93GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€141.20
Price
€120.00
GF Value