TPL (Texas Pacific Land) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -4,911.27% (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp TPL
90 GF Score
Price $408.92
GF Value $372.79
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Texas Pacific Land Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Texas Pacific Land TPL +2.79% 90 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -4,911.27% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPL with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $372.79 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-07-14), Texas Pacific Land's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars. Texas Pacific Land's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is $228.13 and current share price is $408.92. Consequently,

Texas Pacific Land's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is -4,911.27%.

TPL vs EQT, EXE, PR: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Texas Pacific Land's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Texas Pacific Land Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Texas Pacific Land's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Texas Pacific Land's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


TPL
90GF Score
Texas Pacific Land Corp TPL
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Texas Pacific Land Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Texas Pacific Land's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(8.16-408.92)/8.16
=-4,911.27 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -4,911.27% mean?
Texas Pacific Land (TPL) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -4,911.27% as of Jul. 14, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Texas Pacific Land.
Is Texas Pacific Land's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Texas Pacific Land's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -4,911.27%. Overall, Texas Pacific Land has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Texas Pacific Land's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to EQT and EXE?
Texas Pacific Land's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -4,911.27% can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Texas Pacific Land. Texas Pacific Land's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -4,911.27%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Texas Pacific Land stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Texas Pacific Land (TPL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $372.79, compared to a current price of $408.92 — trading 9.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -4,911.27%. Texas Pacific Land's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Texas Pacific Land (TPL), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -4,911.27% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Texas Pacific Land (TPL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Texas Pacific Land stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $408.92 is trading 9.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $372.79. GuruFocus considers Texas Pacific Land to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TPL:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -4,911.27%
  • GF Value™: $372.79 vs. price of $408.92 (9.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Texas Pacific Land Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges 9WY:Germany
Address 2699 Howell Street, Suite 800, Dallas, TX, USA, 75204
Texas Pacific Land Corp is mainly engaged in the sales and leases of land owned, retaining oil and gas royalties, and the overall management of the land owned. The group operates its business in two reportable segments: Land and Resource Management and Water Service and Operations. The Land and Resource Management segment, which generates maximum revenue, focuses on managing its several surface acres of land and its oil and gas royalty interests, principally concentrated in the Permian Basin. The revenue streams of this segment consist of royalties from oil and gas, revenues from easements and commercial leases, and land and material sales. The Water Services and Operations segment encompasses the business of providing a full-service water offering to operators in the Permian Basin.
90GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$408.92
Price
$372.79
GF Value