Tokai Holdings (TSE:3167) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -8.22% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:3167 Tokai Holdings Corp TSE:3167
70 GF Score
Price 円1,143.00
GF Value 円1,033.66
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Tokai Holdings Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Tokai Holdings TSE:3167 +0.62% 70 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -8.22% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3167 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,033.66 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-26), Tokai Holdings's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars. Tokai Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is 円1468.16 and current share price is 円1143.00. Consequently,

Tokai Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is -8.22%.

TSE:3167 vs HON, MMM: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Tokai Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Tokai Holdings Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Tokai Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokai Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


TSE:3167
70GF Score
Tokai Holdings Corp TSE:3167
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tokai Holdings Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Tokai Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(1056.21-1143.00)/1056.21
=-8.22 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -8.22% mean?
Tokai Holdings (TSE:3167) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -8.22% as of Jun. 26, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Tokai Holdings.
Is Tokai Holdings' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Tokai Holdings' current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -8.22%. Overall, Tokai Holdings has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tokai Holdings' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to HON and MMM?
Tokai Holdings' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -8.22% can be compared against companies in the Conglomerates industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Conglomerates company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Tokai Holdings. Tokai Holdings's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -8.22%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tokai Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Holdings (TSE:3167) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,033.66, compared to a current price of 円1,143.00 — trading 10.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -8.22%. Tokai Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tokai Holdings (TSE:3167), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -8.22% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tokai Holdings (TSE:3167) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,143.00 is trading 10.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,033.66. GuruFocus considers Tokai Holdings to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3167:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -8.22%
  • GF Value™: 円1,033.66 vs. price of 円1,143.00 (10.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3167 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Tokai Holdings Business Description

Address 2-6-8, Tokiwa-Cho, Aoi-ku, Shizuoka Prefecture, Shizuoka, JPN, 5008828
Tokai Holdings Corp is engaged in miscellaneous business operations. The scope of its activities includes energy, residential real estate and cable television. The energy business relates to the sale of liquefied petroleum gas, liquefied natural gas, oil products, high-pressure gas such as oxygen and nitrogen. The real estate division is responsible for the construction and design of residential buildings and stores. The communication division is engaged in software development, information processing service, optical fiber leasing, data transmission, and the sale of asymmetric digital subscriber line.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3167

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,143.00
Price
円1,033.66
GF Value