Alpha Systems (TSE:4719) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -32.84% (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


TSE:4719 Alpha Systems Inc TSE:4719
75 GF Score
Price 円3,280.00
GF Value 円3,659.69
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Alpha Systems Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Alpha Systems TSE:4719 -3.53% 75 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -32.84% as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:4719 with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of 円3,659.69 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-28), Alpha Systems's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars. Alpha Systems's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is 円4778.23 and current share price is 円3280.00. Consequently,

Alpha Systems's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is -32.84%.

TSE:4719 vs CRM, SHOP, UBER: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Alpha Systems's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alpha Systems Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Alpha Systems's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpha Systems's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


TSE:4719
75GF Score
Alpha Systems Inc TSE:4719
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alpha Systems Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Alpha Systems's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(2469.08-3280.00)/2469.08
=-32.84 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -32.84% mean?
Alpha Systems (TSE:4719) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -32.84% as of Jun. 28, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Alpha Systems.
Is Alpha Systems' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Alpha Systems' current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -32.84%. Overall, Alpha Systems has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alpha Systems' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to CRM and SHOP?
Alpha Systems' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of -32.84% can be compared against companies in the Software industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Software company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Software industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Alpha Systems. Alpha Systems's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -32.84%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alpha Systems stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alpha Systems (TSE:4719) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円3,659.69, compared to a current price of 円3,280.00 — trading 10.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -32.84%. Alpha Systems' overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alpha Systems (TSE:4719), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is -32.84% as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alpha Systems (TSE:4719) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alpha Systems stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円3,280.00 is trading 10.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円3,659.69. GuruFocus considers Alpha Systems to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4719:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): -32.84%
  • GF Value™: 円3,659.69 vs. price of 円3,280.00 (10.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4719 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alpha Systems Business Description

Address 12th Floor, 2-17-5 Shibuya, Shionogi Shibuya Building, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 150-0002
Alpha Systems Inc engages in software development for telecommunications systems. The company develops software for backbone communication systems, such as node systems, mobile network systems, and network management systems; open systems, including systems for management of production and distribution, and Intranets for corporate information management; and embedded systems to control electronic devices, including home appliances, office automation equipment, industrial machines, and in-vehicle systems. It also provides system integration, system operation and maintenance, and product sales services.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4719

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,280.00
Price
円3,659.69
GF Value