Alpha Systems (TSE:4719) Altman Z2-Score: 11.22 (As of Jul. 08, 2026) — 13% Above Median


TSE:4719 Alpha Systems Inc TSE:4719
74 GF Score
Price 円3,390.00
GF Value 円3,665.17
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Alpha Systems Altman Z2-Score?

Alpha Systems TSE:4719 +1.95% 74 Altman Z2-Score is 11.22 as of Jul. 08, 2026, which is 13% above its 10-year median of 9.91. GuruFocus rates TSE:4719 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of 円3,665.17 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 2,820 Software companies, Alpha Systems ranks better than 91.13% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Alpha Systems has a Altman Z2-Score of 11.22, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alpha Systems's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4719' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.76   Med: 9.91   Max: 11.22
Current: 11.22

During the past 13 years, Alpha Systems's highest Altman Z2-Score was 11.22. The lowest was 8.76. And the median was 9.91.


Alpha Systems  (TSE:4719) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alpha Systems Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Alpha Systems Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alpha Systems's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alpha Systems Altman Z2-Score Chart

Alpha Systems Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.88 10.25 10.28 10.57 11.22

Alpha Systems Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.57 12.49 11.67 12.74 11.22

TSE:4719 vs UBER, SHOP, CRM: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Alpha Systems's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alpha Systems Altman Z2-Score vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Alpha Systems's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpha Systems's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


TSE:4719
74GF Score
Alpha Systems Inc TSE:4719
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alpha Systems Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Alpha Systems's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.4837+3.26*0.4246+6.72*0.0955+1.05*5.7359
=11.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was 円53,239 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円33,217 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円7,469 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円22,605 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1038.455 + 1609.013 + 1253.34 + 1183.548 = 円5,084 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円7,904 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(33217.368 - 7468.526)/53238.5
=0.4837

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=22605.317/53238.5
=0.4246

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(5084.356 - 0)/53238.5
=0.0955

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(45334.783 - 0)/7903.717
=5.7359

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Alpha Systems has a Altman Z2-Score of 11.22 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of 11.22 mean?
Alpha Systems (TSE:4719) has a Altman Z2-Score of 11.22 as of Jul. 08, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Alpha Systems and its competitors. This is 13% above median its historical median of 9.91. Over the past decade, Alpha Systems' Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 8.76 to 11.22. According to the industry distribution chart, Alpha Systems ranks #250 out of 2820 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 8.9%.
Is Alpha Systems' Altman Z2-Score too high?
Alpha Systems' current Altman Z2-Score of 11.22 is 13% above median its 10-year median of 9.91. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 8.76 to a high of 11.22. The Software industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.08. Alpha Systems' value of 11.22 is 264.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Alpha Systems ranks #250 out of 2820 companies in the Software industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Alpha Systems has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alpha Systems' Altman Z2-Score compare to UBER and SHOP?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Alpha Systems ranks #250 out of 2820 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Alpha Systems in the top 9% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 3.08. Alpha Systems' value of 11.22 is 264.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Alpha Systems' own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 8.76 to 11.22 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 9.91 vs. the industry median of 3.08, Alpha Systems has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Software company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Software companies is 3.08, based on 2,820 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Alpha Systems's current Altman Z2-Score of 11.22 is 264.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Alpha Systems and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 3.08 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alpha Systems's current Altman Z2-Score is 11.22, which is 13% above median its own 10-year median of 9.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alpha Systems stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alpha Systems (TSE:4719) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円3,665.17, compared to a current price of 円3,390.00 — trading 7.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 11.22, which is 13% above median its 10-year median of 9.91 and 264.3% above the Software industry median of 3.08. Alpha Systems' overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alpha Systems (TSE:4719), the current Altman Z2-Score is 11.22 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alpha Systems (TSE:4719) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alpha Systems stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円3,390.00 is trading 7.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円3,665.17. GuruFocus considers Alpha Systems to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:4719:

  • Altman Z2-Score: 11.22 (13% above median its 10-year median of 9.91)
  • GF Value™: 円3,665.17 vs. price of 円3,390.00 (7.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 264.3% above the Software median (#250 of 2820)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:4719 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alpha Systems Business Description

Address 12th Floor, 2-17-5 Shibuya, Shionogi Shibuya Building, Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 150-0002
Alpha Systems Inc engages in software development for telecommunications systems. The company develops software for backbone communication systems, such as node systems, mobile network systems, and network management systems; open systems, including systems for management of production and distribution, and Intranets for corporate information management; and embedded systems to control electronic devices, including home appliances, office automation equipment, industrial machines, and in-vehicle systems. It also provides system integration, system operation and maintenance, and product sales services.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:4719

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,390.00
Price
円3,665.17
GF Value