Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 32.99% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TSX:ATD Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc TSX:ATD
84 GF Score
Price C$93.76
GF Value C$84.36
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Alimentation Couche-Tard Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Alimentation Couche-Tard TSX:ATD +2.06% 84 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 32.99% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:ATD with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of C$84.36 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), Alimentation Couche-Tard's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars. Alimentation Couche-Tard's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is C$96.50 and current share price is C$93.76. Consequently,

Alimentation Couche-Tard's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 32.99%.

TSX:ATD vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Alimentation Couche-Tard's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Alimentation Couche-Tard's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alimentation Couche-Tard's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


TSX:ATD
84GF Score
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc TSX:ATD
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alimentation Couche-Tard Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Alimentation Couche-Tard's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(139.92-93.76)/139.92
=32.99 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 32.99% mean?
Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 32.99% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Alimentation Couche-Tard.
Is Alimentation Couche-Tard's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Alimentation Couche-Tard's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 32.99%. Overall, Alimentation Couche-Tard has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alimentation Couche-Tard's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to CASY and WSM?
Alimentation Couche-Tard's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 32.99% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Alimentation Couche-Tard. Alimentation Couche-Tard's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 32.99%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alimentation Couche-Tard stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$84.36, compared to a current price of C$93.76 — trading 11.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 32.99%. Alimentation Couche-Tard's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 32.99% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alimentation Couche-Tard stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$93.76 is trading 11.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$84.36. GuruFocus considers Alimentation Couche-Tard to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:ATD:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 32.99%
  • GF Value™: C$84.36 vs. price of C$93.76 (11.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:ATD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Business Description

Other Exchanges ANCTF:USACJA0:Germany
Address 4204 Boulevard Industriel, Laval, QC, CAN, H7L 0E3
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc operates a network of convenience stores across North America, Europe, and Asia. The company generates income through the sale of tobacco products, groceries, beverages, fresh food, quick service restaurants, car wash services, other retail products and services, road transportation fuel, stationary energy, marine fuel, and chemicals. In addition, the company operates stores under the Circle K banner in other countries such as Indonesia, Egypt, Macau, and others. Its operation is geographically divided into the U.S., Europe and other regions, and Canada. Revenue from external customers falls mainly into three categories: merchandise and services, road transportation fuel, and others. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the United States.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:ATD

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$93.76
Price
C$84.36
GF Value