Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSX:ATD Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc TSX:ATD
94 GF Score
Price C$91.01
GF Value C$85.45
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Alimentation Couche-Tard Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Alimentation Couche-Tard is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Alimentation Couche-Tard  (TSX:ATD) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Risk Assessment Related Terms

TSX:ATD vs CASY, WSM, DKS: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Alimentation Couche-Tard's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Risk Assessment vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Alimentation Couche-Tard's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alimentation Couche-Tard's Risk Assessment falls into.


TSX:ATD
94GF Score
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc TSX:ATD
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alimentation Couche-Tard stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$91.01 is trading 6.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$85.45. GuruFocus considers Alimentation Couche-Tard to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:ATD:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: C$85.45 vs. price of C$91.01 (6.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 94/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:ATD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Business Description

Other Exchanges ANCTF:USACJA0:Germany
Address 4204 Boulevard Industriel, Laval, QC, CAN, H7L 0E3
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc operates a network of convenience stores across North America, Europe, and Asia. The company generates income through the sale of tobacco products, groceries, beverages, fresh food, quick service restaurants, car wash services, other retail products and services, road transportation fuel, stationary energy, marine fuel, and chemicals. In addition, the company operates stores under the Circle K banner in other countries such as Indonesia, Egypt, Macau, and others. Its operation is geographically divided into the U.S., Europe and other regions, and Canada. Revenue from external customers falls mainly into three categories: merchandise and services, road transportation fuel, and others. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the United States.
94GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:ATD

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$91.01
Price
C$85.45
GF Value