AFRAF (Air France-KLM) Beneish M-Score: -2.76 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


AFRAF Air France-KLM AFRAF
69 GF Score
Price $13.38
GF Value $11.67
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score?

Air France-KLM AFRAF 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.76 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates AFRAF with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of $11.67 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Air France-KLM ranks better than 66.77% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.76 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AFRAF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -51.24   Med: -3   Max: -2.43
Current: -2.76

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Air France-KLM was -2.43. The lowest was -51.24. And the median was -3.00.


Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score Chart

Air France-KLM Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.00 -2.89 -2.75 -2.87 -2.89

Air France-KLM Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -3.03 -2.98 -2.89 -2.76

AFRAF vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score falls into.


AFRAF
69GF Score
Air France-KLM AFRAF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Air France-KLM Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Air France-KLM for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1318+0.528 * 0.9343+0.404 * 0.8349+0.892 * 1.1236+0.115 * 0.9824
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0382+4.679 * -0.074242-0.327 * 0.9592
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,385 Mil.
Revenue was 8646.243 + 9585.48 + 10814.554 + 9738.178 = $38,784 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1735.26 + 1420.375 + 3223.005 + 2500.577 = $8,879 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $16,037 Mil.
Total Assets was $49,583 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $28,824 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,814 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,342 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $22,413 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $13,750 Mil.
Net Income was -331.792 + 642.857 + 855.634 + 698.962 = $1,866 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1875.145 + 1187.354 + 1190.141 + 1294.118 = $5,547 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,662 Mil.
Revenue was 7745.946 + 8249.215 + 9965.594 + 8556.512 = $34,517 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1197.838 + 1295.288 + 2876.804 + 2012.917 = $7,383 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,638 Mil.
Total Assets was $40,493 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $24,237 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,143 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,150 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $19,031 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $11,759 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3384.971 / 38784.455) / (2661.622 / 34517.267)
=0.087276 / 0.07711
=1.1318

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7382.847 / 34517.267) / (8879.217 / 38784.455)
=0.213889 / 0.228938
=0.9343

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16036.994 + 28824.277) / 49582.659) / (1 - (11637.838 + 24236.757) / 40492.973)
=0.095223 / 0.114054
=0.8349

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=38784.455 / 34517.267
=1.1236

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3142.987 / (3142.987 + 24236.757)) / (3813.55 / (3813.55 + 28824.277))
=0.114792 / 0.116844
=0.9824

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1341.566 / 38784.455) / (1150.063 / 34517.267)
=0.03459 / 0.033318
=1.0382

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13750.289 + 22412.717) / 49582.659) / ((11758.919 + 19031.351) / 40492.973)
=0.729348 / 0.760386
=0.9592

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1865.661 - 0 - 5546.758) / 49582.659
=-0.074242

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Air France-KLM has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.76 mean?
Air France-KLM (AFRAF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.76 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Air France-KLM and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Air France-KLM ranks #321 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 33.2%.
Is Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score too high?
Air France-KLM's current Beneish M-Score is -2.76. Based on the distribution chart, Air France-KLM ranks #321 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Air France-KLM has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Air France-KLM's Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Air France-KLM ranks #321 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Air France-KLM in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Air France-KLM and its competitors. Air France-KLM's current Beneish M-Score is -2.76. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Air France-KLM stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Air France-KLM (AFRAF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $11.67, compared to a current price of $13.38 — trading 14.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.76. Air France-KLM's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Air France-KLM (AFRAF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.76 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Air France-KLM (AFRAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Air France-KLM stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $13.38 is trading 14.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $11.67. GuruFocus considers Air France-KLM to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AFRAF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.76
  • GF Value™: $11.67 vs. price of $13.38 (14.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AFRAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Air France-KLM Business Description

Address 7 Rue du Cirque, Paris, FRA, 75008
Air France-KLM is a European airline group engaged in businesses that include passenger and cargo transportation, low-cost operations, and aircraft maintenance. The group has four segments: network, maintenance, Transavia, and other. The network segment derives key revenue for the passenger and cargo network, mainly coming from passenger transportation services on scheduled flights with the group's airline code. The company's geographic markets include France, Benelux, Europe, and the rest of the world, with the majority of revenue coming from France, including its overseas division.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AFRAF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$13.38
Price
$11.67
GF Value