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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -3.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for ASML Holding NV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ASML Holding NV was -1.76. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.50.
The historical data trend for ASML Holding NV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ASML Holding NV Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | Dec24 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.59 | -3.14 | -2.48 | -2.08 | -3.07 |
ASML Holding NV Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | Dec24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.08 | -2.04 | -2.25 | -2.22 | -3.07 |
For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, ASML Holding NV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, ASML Holding NV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ASML Holding NV's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of ASML Holding NV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.7027 | + | 0.528 * 1.0005 | + | 0.404 * 0.8943 | + | 0.892 * 1.025 | + | 0.115 * 0.9676 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 1.0228 | + | 4.679 * -0.071057 | - | 0.327 * 0.9334 | |||||||
= | -3.09 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec24) TTM: | Last Year (Dec23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $5,700 Mil. Revenue was 9699.267 + 8287.791 + 6719.914 + 5750 = $30,457 Mil. Gross Profit was 5015.497 + 4210.211 + 3457.696 + 2931.087 = $15,614 Mil. Total Current Assets was $32,186 Mil. Total Assets was $50,879 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $7,575 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $992 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,258 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $20,996 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,851 Mil. Net Income was 2820.314 + 2304.661 + 1698.493 + 1330.217 = $8,154 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 9994.555 + 1054.273 + 993.972 + -273.804 = $11,769 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $7,914 Mil. Revenue was 7892.039 + 7121.665 + 7478.115 + 7222.912 = $29,715 Mil. Gross Profit was 4053.762 + 3694.344 + 3839.653 + 3654.39 = $15,242 Mil. Total Current Assets was $26,602 Mil. Total Assets was $43,574 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,325 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $798 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,200 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $17,748 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,051 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (5699.895 / 30456.972) | / | (7913.631 / 29714.731) | |
= | 0.187146 | / | 0.26632 | |
= | 0.7027 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (15242.149 / 29714.731) | / | (15614.491 / 30456.972) | |
= | 0.512949 | / | 0.512674 | |
= | 1.0005 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (32185.759 + 7574.869) / 50879.162) | / | (1 - (26601.854 + 6324.755) / 43574.155) | |
= | 0.218528 | / | 0.244355 | |
= | 0.8943 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 30456.972 | / | 29714.731 | |
= | 1.025 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (797.995 / (797.995 + 6324.755)) | / | (991.884 / (991.884 + 7574.869)) | |
= | 0.112035 | / | 0.115783 | |
= | 0.9676 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (1258.272 / 30456.972) | / | (1200.209 / 29714.731) | |
= | 0.041313 | / | 0.040391 | |
= | 1.0228 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((3850.576 + 20996.23) / 50879.162) | / | ((5050.709 + 17747.764) / 43574.155) | |
= | 0.488349 | / | 0.523211 | |
= | 0.9334 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (8153.685 - 0 | - | 11768.996) | / | 50879.162 | |
= | -0.071057 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
ASML Holding NV has a M-score of -3.09 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ASML Holding NV's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
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