Joyce (ASX:JYC) Beneish M-Score: -3.81 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


ASX:JYC Joyce Corp Ltd ASX:JYC
87 GF Score
Price A$5.95
GF Value A$4.52
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Joyce Beneish M-Score?

Joyce ASX:JYC -0.83% 87 Beneish M-Score is -3.81 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:JYC with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of A$4.52 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,087 Retail - Cyclical companies, Joyce ranks better than 95.58% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Joyce's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:JYC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.7   Med: -3.21   Max: -1.41
Current: -3.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Joyce was -1.41. The lowest was -4.70. And the median was -3.21.


Joyce Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Joyce's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Joyce Beneish M-Score Chart

Joyce Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.70 -3.06 -3.81 -3.42 -3.81

Joyce Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.42 0.00 -3.81 0.00

ASX:JYC vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Joyce's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Joyce Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Joyce's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Joyce's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:JYC
87GF Score
Joyce Corp Ltd ASX:JYC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Joyce Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Joyce for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7003+0.528 * 0.9828+0.404 * 1.1369+0.892 * 1.0182+0.115 * 0.8734
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0432+4.679 * -0.233337-0.327 * 1.0194
=-3.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$0.6 Mil.
Revenue was A$148.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$81.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$48.6 Mil.
Total Assets was A$97.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$33.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$8.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$49.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$35.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$21.0 Mil.
Net Income was A$7.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2.7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$27.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$0.9 Mil.
Revenue was A$145.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$78.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$46.6 Mil.
Total Assets was A$92.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$33.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$7.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$47.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$32.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$20.6 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0.646 / 148.154) / (0.906 / 145.509)
=0.00436 / 0.006226
=0.7003

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(78.179 / 145.509) / (80.992 / 148.154)
=0.537279 / 0.546674
=0.9828

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (48.564 + 33.537) / 97.567) / (1 - (46.63 + 33.262) / 92.836)
=0.158517 / 0.139429
=1.1369

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=148.154 / 145.509
=1.0182

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7.464 / (7.464 + 33.262)) / (8.906 / (8.906 + 33.537))
=0.183274 / 0.209834
=0.8734

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(49.88 / 148.154) / (46.963 / 145.509)
=0.336677 / 0.32275
=1.0432

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((21.018 + 35.655) / 97.567) / ((20.629 + 32.27) / 92.836)
=0.580862 / 0.569811
=1.0194

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7.347 - 2.674 - 27.439) / 97.567
=-0.233337

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Joyce has a M-score of -3.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.81 mean?
Joyce (ASX:JYC) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.81 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Joyce and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Joyce ranks #48 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 4.4%.
Is Joyce's Beneish M-Score too high?
Joyce's current Beneish M-Score is -3.81. Based on the distribution chart, Joyce ranks #48 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Joyce has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Joyce's Beneish M-Score compare to CASY and WSM?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Joyce ranks #48 out of 1087 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Joyce in the top 4% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Joyce and its competitors. Joyce's current Beneish M-Score is -3.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Joyce stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Joyce (ASX:JYC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$4.52, compared to a current price of A$5.95 — trading 31.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.81. Joyce's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Joyce (ASX:JYC), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.81 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Joyce (ASX:JYC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Joyce stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$5.95 is trading 31.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$4.52. GuruFocus considers Joyce to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:JYC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.81
  • GF Value™: A$4.52 vs. price of A$5.95 (31.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:JYC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Joyce Business Description

Address 30-32 Guthrie Street, Osborne Park, Perth, WA, AUS, 6017
Joyce Corp Ltd retails kitchen and wardrobe products in Australia. The group's operating segments are: Retail kitchen and wardrobe showrooms, Retail bedding-franchise operation, and Retail bedding stores - company-owned. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Retail kitchen and wardrobe showrooms segment, which includes the operation of Kitchen Connection and Wallspan stores across Australia.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:JYC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$5.95
Price
A$4.52
GF Value