AXFOF (Axfood AB) Beneish M-Score: -2.43 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


AXFOF Axfood AB AXFOF
90 GF Score
Price $28.00
GF Value $22.40
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Axfood AB Beneish M-Score?

Axfood AB AXFOF 90 Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates AXFOF with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $22.40 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 293 Retail - Defensive companies, Axfood AB ranks worse than 64.85% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Axfood AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AXFOF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.72   Med: -3.01   Max: -2.01
Current: -2.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Axfood AB was -2.01. The lowest was -3.72. And the median was -3.01.


Axfood AB Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Axfood AB's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Axfood AB Beneish M-Score Chart

Axfood AB Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.90 -3.09 -3.09 -3.02

Axfood AB Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.15 -3.02 -2.72 -3.02 -2.43

AXFOF vs KR, SFM, ACI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Axfood AB's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Axfood AB Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Axfood AB's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Axfood AB's Beneish M-Score falls into.


AXFOF
90GF Score
Axfood AB AXFOF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Axfood AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Axfood AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5799+0.528 * 0.9869+0.404 * 0.9405+0.892 * 1.1779+0.115 * 0.9047
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0097+4.679 * -0.112037-0.327 * 0.9909
=-2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $275 Mil.
Revenue was 2317.756 + 2456.663 + 2377.757 + 2408.307 = $9,560 Mil.
Gross Profit was 344.846 + 354.226 + 353.367 + 359.125 = $1,412 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,046 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,994 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,137 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $437 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,106 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,756 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,335 Mil.
Net Income was 56.133 + 60.365 + 76.072 + 64.305 = $257 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 117.31 + 240.813 + 144.249 + 202.028 = $704 Mil.
Total Receivables was $148 Mil.
Revenue was 2076.425 + 1989.986 + 2043.406 + 2006.675 = $8,116 Mil.
Gross Profit was 305.74 + 295.585 + 292.697 + 288.643 = $1,183 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $854 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,502 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,892 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $343 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $930 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,496 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,239 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(274.761 / 9560.483) / (147.639 / 8116.492)
=0.028739 / 0.01819
=1.5799

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1182.665 / 8116.492) / (1411.564 / 9560.483)
=0.145711 / 0.147646
=0.9869

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1046.022 + 2137.337) / 3994.44) / (1 - (854.255 + 1891.58) / 3501.895)
=0.203052 / 0.2159
=0.9405

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9560.483 / 8116.492
=1.1779

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(342.828 / (342.828 + 1891.58)) / (436.509 / (436.509 + 2137.337))
=0.153431 / 0.169594
=0.9047

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1106.021 / 9560.483) / (929.92 / 8116.492)
=0.115687 / 0.114572
=1.0097

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1335.272 + 1756) / 3994.44) / ((1238.749 + 1496.23) / 3501.895)
=0.773894 / 0.781
=0.9909

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(256.875 - 0 - 704.4) / 3994.44
=-0.112037

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Axfood AB has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 mean?
Axfood AB (AXFOF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Axfood AB and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #190 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 64.8%.
Is Axfood AB's Beneish M-Score too high?
Axfood AB's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Based on the distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #190 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Axfood AB has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Axfood AB's Beneish M-Score compare to KR and SFM?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #190 out of 293 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Axfood AB in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Axfood AB and its competitors. Axfood AB's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Axfood AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Axfood AB (AXFOF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $22.40, compared to a current price of $28.00 — trading 25% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Axfood AB's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Axfood AB (AXFOF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Axfood AB (AXFOF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Axfood AB stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $28.00 is trading 25% above its estimated GF Value™ of $22.40. GuruFocus considers Axfood AB to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AXFOF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.43
  • GF Value™: $22.40 vs. price of $28.00 (25% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AXFOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Axfood AB Business Description

Other Exchanges AXFO:SwedenAXFOs:UK0R6R:UK
Address Solnavagen 4, Stockholm, SWE, 113 65
Axfood AB operates food retail and wholesale businesses in Sweden. The company operates various food retail grocery chains, discount stores, hypermarkets, restaurants, cafes, and pharmacies through different brands. The company's operating segments include Willys, Hemkop, Dagab, City Gross, and Snabbgross. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Willys segment, which is a discount grocery chain, offering various products in both group-owned stores and online. This segment also includes the partly owned cross-border grocery chain Eurocash.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AXFOF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$28.00
Price
$22.40
GF Value