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Asia Aviation PCL (BKK:AAV-F) Beneish M-Score : -2.74 (As of Jun. 22, 2024)


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What is Asia Aviation PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Asia Aviation PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:AAV-F' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -23.34   Med: -2.25   Max: 12.26
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Asia Aviation PCL was 12.26. The lowest was -23.34. And the median was -2.25.


Asia Aviation PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Asia Aviation PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Asia Aviation PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Asia Aviation PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.74 -4.02 0.18 2.20 -4.01

Asia Aviation PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.61 -23.34 -7.22 -4.01 -2.74

Competitive Comparison of Asia Aviation PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Asia Aviation PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asia Aviation PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Asia Aviation PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asia Aviation PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Asia Aviation PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Asia Aviation PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2237+0.528 * -0.7166+0.404 * 0.9547+0.892 * 1.8489+0.115 * 1.147
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.774+4.679 * -0.074245-0.327 * 1.0139
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿8,935 Mil.
Revenue was 13793.749 + 12457.202 + 9662.171 + 10036.49 = ฿45,950 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2551.425 + 2220.789 + 26.727 + 998.187 = ฿5,797 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿12,514 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿70,536 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿27,391 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿4,650 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿2,895 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿27,401 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿34,283 Mil.
Net Income was -409.091 + 2813.632 + -1694.691 + -1012.526 = ฿-303 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1825.46 + 2594.233 + -576.919 + -1028.283 = ฿-836 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2414.611 + 1859.217 + 439.939 + 1056.889 = ฿5,771 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿3,949 Mil.
Revenue was 9085.597 + 8263.853 + 4811.189 + 2691.773 = ฿24,852 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1184.115 + 671.987 + -1807.304 + -2295.585 = ฿-2,247 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿6,708 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿66,001 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿29,272 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿5,845 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿2,023 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿23,086 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿33,843 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8935.025 / 45949.612) / (3949.041 / 24852.412)
=0.194453 / 0.1589
=1.2237

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-2246.787 / 24852.412) / (5797.128 / 45949.612)
=-0.090405 / 0.126163
=-0.7166

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12514.371 + 27390.565) / 70535.641) / (1 - (6708.432 + 29271.766) / 66000.979)
=0.434259 / 0.454854
=0.9547

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=45949.612 / 24852.412
=1.8489

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5845.369 / (5845.369 + 29271.766)) / (4649.547 / (4649.547 + 27390.565))
=0.166453 / 0.145116
=1.147

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2895.065 / 45949.612) / (2022.968 / 24852.412)
=0.063005 / 0.081399
=0.774

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((34282.761 + 27401.289) / 70535.641) / ((33842.904 + 23085.856) / 66000.979)
=0.874509 / 0.862544
=1.0139

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-302.676 - -836.429 - 5770.656) / 70535.641
=-0.074245

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Asia Aviation PCL has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Asia Aviation PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Asia Aviation PCL (BKK:AAV-F) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Vibhavadee Rangsit Road, 3rd floor, Central Office Building, Room no. 3200, 222, Don Mueang International Airport, Sanam Bin District, Don Mueang District, Bangkok, THA, 10210
Asia Aviation PCL is a holding company for Thai AirAsia Company Ltd that is engaged in investing in a low-fare airline business company. The company has two operating segments; Schedule flight operations provide passenger air transportation services to routine destinations for scheduled flights. It sells tickets through its distribution channels such as websites, sale counters, travel agents. and Chartered flight operations provide passenger air transportation services to non-routine destinations. Flights are operated when there is hiring from customers such as tourist agency companies.

Asia Aviation PCL (BKK:AAV-F) Headlines

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