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Muangthai Capital PCL (BKK:MTC) Beneish M-Score : -2.17 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Muangthai Capital PCL Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.17 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Muangthai Capital PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:MTC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -16.58   Med: -1.39   Max: 0.99
Current: -2.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Muangthai Capital PCL was 0.99. The lowest was -16.58. And the median was -1.39.


Muangthai Capital PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Muangthai Capital PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8111+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0051+0.892 * 1.1235+0.115 * 0.9965
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0021+4.679 * 0.077516-0.327 * 0.9591
=-2.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿5,757 Mil.
Revenue was 5527.289 + 5289.154 + 5224.388 + 5181.383 = ฿21,222 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5527.289 + 5289.154 + 5224.388 + 5181.383 = ฿21,222 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿0 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿171,006 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿7,311 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿1,502 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿8,312 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿105,913 Mil.
Net Income was 1491.064 + 1444.235 + 1389.375 + 1351.154 = ฿5,676 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ฿0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1069.403 + -4180.892 + -1084.753 + -1244.793 = ฿-7,580 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿6,318 Mil.
Revenue was 4961.11 + 4949.142 + 4670.99 + 4307.589 = ฿18,889 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4961.11 + 4949.142 + 4670.99 + 4307.589 = ฿18,889 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿0 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿145,506 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿6,925 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿1,417 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿7,383 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿93,961 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5757.383 / 21222.214) / (6317.711 / 18888.831)
=0.27129 / 0.334468
=0.8111

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18888.831 / 18888.831) / (21222.214 / 21222.214)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 7311.136) / 171006.463) / (1 - (0 + 6924.804) / 145506.023)
=0.957246 / 0.952409
=1.0051

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=21222.214 / 18888.831
=1.1235

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1416.831 / (1416.831 + 6924.804)) / (1502.207 / (1502.207 + 7311.136))
=0.169851 / 0.170447
=0.9965

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8312.233 / 21222.214) / (7382.717 / 18888.831)
=0.391676 / 0.390851
=1.0021

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((105913.46 + 0) / 171006.463) / ((93960.987 + 0) / 145506.023)
=0.619354 / 0.645753
=0.9591

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5675.828 - 0 - -7579.841) / 171006.463
=0.077516

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Muangthai Capital PCL has a M-score of -2.17 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Muangthai Capital PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Muangthai Capital PCL Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 332/1 Charansanitwong Road, Bangplad, Bangplad, Bangkok, THA, 10700
Muangthai Capital PCL mainly provides loans to consumers in Thailand. The company makes both unsecured personal loans as well as secured loans for specific items. Muangthai's secured loans are generally for cars, motorcycles, agricultural equipment, or land that then serve as collateral. Roughly 85% of the company's total revenue is from interest and fees on the loans, and nearly all the company's revenue is attributable to loans. A very small portion of revenue comes from the company's insurance brokerage business. Muangthai operates exclusively in Thailand.