Axia Energia (BSP:AXIA3) Beneish M-Score: -2.37 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


BSP:AXIA3 Axia Energia BSP:AXIA3
66 GF Score
Price R$55.06
GF Value R$41.59
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Axia Energia Beneish M-Score?

Axia Energia BSP:AXIA3 +1.62% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.37 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:AXIA3 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of R$41.59 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 390 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Axia Energia ranks worse than 66.92% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.37 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Axia Energia's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:AXIA3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.14   Med: -2.37   Max: -0.38
Current: -2.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Axia Energia was -0.38. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.37.


Axia Energia Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Axia Energia's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Axia Energia Beneish M-Score Chart

Axia Energia Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.21 -2.49 -2.81 -2.53

Axia Energia Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -2.82 -3.14 -2.53 -2.37

Axia Energia Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Axia Energia's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Axia Energia Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Axia Energia's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Axia Energia's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:AXIA3
66GF Score
Axia Energia BSP:AXIA3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Axia Energia Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Axia Energia for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0758+0.528 * 0.9297+0.404 * 0.9919+0.892 * 1.0406+0.115 * 0.9459
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.012554-0.327 * 1.0281
=-2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$22,396 Mil.
Revenue was 12711.586 + 10665.957 + 10002.503 + 10198.954 = R$43,579 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7578.359 + 22474.063 + 4082.137 + 4863.501 = R$38,998 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$55,253 Mil.
Total Assets was R$279,913 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$39,530 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,717 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$26,220 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$62,939 Mil.
Net Income was 2629.666 + 13685.591 + -5449.628 + -1324.449 = R$9,541 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 763.736 + -10890.46 + 5854.733 + -3832.311 = R$-8,104 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2760.904 + 3215.564 + 4213.496 + 3941.417 = R$14,131 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$20,006 Mil.
Revenue was 10414.179 + 12025.072 + 11042.927 + 8395.282 = R$41,877 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4826.34 + 21007.743 + 5263.414 + 3745.221 = R$34,843 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$57,376 Mil.
Total Assets was R$282,016 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$36,588 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,103 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$25,059 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$62,314 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(22395.744 / 43579) / (20005.728 / 41877.46)
=0.513911 / 0.477721
=1.0758

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(34842.718 / 41877.46) / (38998.06 / 43579)
=0.832016 / 0.894882
=0.9297

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (55252.589 + 39529.859) / 279912.545) / (1 - (57375.976 + 36587.602) / 282016.14)
=0.661385 / 0.666815
=0.9919

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=43579 / 41877.46
=1.0406

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4103.295 / (4103.295 + 36587.602)) / (4717.29 / (4717.29 + 39529.859))
=0.100841 / 0.106612
=0.9459

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 43579) / (0 / 41877.46)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((62939.239 + 26219.583) / 279912.545) / ((62313.538 + 25059.169) / 282016.14)
=0.318524 / 0.309815
=1.0281

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9541.18 - -8104.302 - 14131.381) / 279912.545
=0.012554

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Axia Energia has a M-score of -2.37 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.37 mean?
Axia Energia (BSP:AXIA3) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.37 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Axia Energia and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Axia Energia ranks #261 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 66.9%.
Is Axia Energia's Beneish M-Score too high?
Axia Energia's current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. Based on the distribution chart, Axia Energia ranks #261 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Axia Energia has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Axia Energia's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Axia Energia ranks #261 out of 390 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Axia Energia in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Axia Energia and its competitors. Axia Energia's current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Axia Energia stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Axia Energia (BSP:AXIA3) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$41.59, compared to a current price of R$55.06 — trading 32.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.37. Axia Energia's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Axia Energia (BSP:AXIA3), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.37 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Axia Energia (BSP:AXIA3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Axia Energia stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$55.06 is trading 32.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$41.59. GuruFocus considers Axia Energia to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:AXIA3:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.37
  • GF Value™: R$41.59 vs. price of R$55.06 (32.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:AXIA3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Axia Energia Business Description

Address Avenida Graca Aranha, 26 19th floor, Centro, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 20030-900
Axia Energia is engaged in the generation, transmission, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company operates a portfolio of wind, thermal, hydro, and nuclear power plants located throughout the country.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:AXIA3

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$55.06
Price
R$41.59
GF Value