Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio (BSP:CBAV3) Beneish M-Score: -2.27 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


BSP:CBAV3 Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio SA BSP:CBAV3
55 GF Score
Price R$10.75
GF Value R$5.41
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio Beneish M-Score?

Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio BSP:CBAV3 55 Beneish M-Score is -2.27 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:CBAV3 with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of R$5.41 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio ranks worse than 50.66% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.27 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:CBAV3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.43   Max: 5.98
Current: -2.27

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio was 5.98. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.43.


Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio Beneish M-Score Chart

Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -2.35 -2.65 5.98 -2.91 -2.36

Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -2.66 -2.44 -2.36 -2.27

BSP:CBAV3 vs AA, CENX, CSTM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:CBAV3
55GF Score
Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio SA BSP:CBAV3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2261+0.528 * 1.6397+0.404 * 0.9158+0.892 * 0.9933+0.115 * 0.9147
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0487+4.679 * -0.05887-0.327 * 1.0104
=-2.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$792 Mil.
Revenue was 2307.587 + 2194.039 + 2251.954 + 2004.973 = R$8,759 Mil.
Gross Profit was 415.711 + 98.582 + 198.509 + 18.471 = R$731 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$4,765 Mil.
Total Assets was R$14,112 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$6,857 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$772 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$350 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$2,255 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$4,442 Mil.
Net Income was 306.437 + -193.178 + 103.557 + -94.322 = R$122 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 210.396 + 486.022 + 286.83 + -29.967 = R$953 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$650 Mil.
Revenue was 2337.831 + 2279.541 + 2135.48 + 2064.762 = R$8,818 Mil.
Gross Profit was 426.052 + 159.572 + 364.03 + 257.485 = R$1,207 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$4,185 Mil.
Total Assets was R$13,360 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$6,600 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$673 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$336 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$2,368 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$3,906 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(791.828 / 8758.553) / (650.186 / 8817.614)
=0.090406 / 0.073737
=1.2261

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1207.139 / 8817.614) / (731.273 / 8758.553)
=0.136901 / 0.083492
=1.6397

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4765.147 + 6856.532) / 14112.156) / (1 - (4185.283 + 6599.973) / 13359.765)
=0.176477 / 0.192706
=0.9158

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8758.553 / 8817.614
=0.9933

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(673.293 / (673.293 + 6599.973)) / (772.074 / (772.074 + 6856.532))
=0.092571 / 0.101208
=0.9147

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(349.928 / 8758.553) / (335.943 / 8817.614)
=0.039953 / 0.038099
=1.0487

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4441.945 + 2255.336) / 14112.156) / ((3906.357 + 2368.481) / 13359.765)
=0.474575 / 0.469682
=1.0104

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(122.494 - 0 - 953.281) / 14112.156
=-0.05887

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio has a M-score of -2.27 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.27 mean?
Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio (BSP:CBAV3) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.27 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio ranks #347 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 50.7%.
Is Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's Beneish M-Score too high?
Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's current Beneish M-Score is -2.27. Based on the distribution chart, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio ranks #347 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's Beneish M-Score compare to AA and CENX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio ranks #347 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio and its competitors. Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's current Beneish M-Score is -2.27. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio (BSP:CBAV3) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$5.41, compared to a current price of R$10.75 — trading 98.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.27. Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio (BSP:CBAV3), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.27 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio (BSP:CBAV3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$10.75 is trading 98.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$5.41. GuruFocus considers Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:CBAV3:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.27
  • GF Value™: R$5.41 vs. price of R$10.75 (98.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:CBAV3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio Business Description

Address Avenue Engenheiro Luiz Carlos Berrini, No. 105, 14th andar - Cidade Moncoes, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 04571-900
Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio SA is engaged in the exploration of bauxite mining in Brazil, producing and/or trading bauxite, alumina, primary aluminum, and semi-fabricated products in Brazil and abroad. The Company has a wide product range, such as ingots, billets, plates, coils, foil, and extruded products. The company has three operating segments; the Aluminum segment comprises the operations of the aluminum production chain, from bauxite mining to the production of primary and downstream products, the Energy segment; Comprises the sale of surplus energy to the market, and others segment.
55GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$10.75
Price
R$5.41
GF Value