Exxon Mobil (BSP:EXXO34) Beneish M-Score: -2.51 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


BSP:EXXO34 Exxon Mobil Corp BSP:EXXO34
66 GF Score
Price R$88.01
GF Value R$73.80
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Exxon Mobil Beneish M-Score?

Exxon Mobil BSP:EXXO34 -0.73% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:EXXO34 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of R$73.80 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Exxon Mobil ranks worse than 60.22% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Exxon Mobil's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:EXXO34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.07   Med: -2.68   Max: -1.35
Current: -2.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Exxon Mobil was -1.35. The lowest was -3.07. And the median was -2.68.


Exxon Mobil Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Exxon Mobil's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Exxon Mobil Beneish M-Score Chart

Exxon Mobil Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.67 -2.88 -2.60 -2.81

Exxon Mobil Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.81 -2.72 -2.81 -2.51

BSP:EXXO34 vs CVX, NFG, DEC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Exxon Mobil's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Exxon Mobil Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Exxon Mobil's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Exxon Mobil's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:EXXO34
66GF Score
Exxon Mobil Corp BSP:EXXO34
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Exxon Mobil Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Exxon Mobil for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3309+0.528 * 1.095+0.404 * 0.9704+0.892 * 0.9105+0.115 * 0.8904
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1693+4.679 * -0.06735-0.327 * 1.1634
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$323,100 Mil.
Revenue was 434898.766 + 436668.772 + 446904.153 + 440763.547 = R$1,759,235 Mil.
Gross Profit was 72654.833 + 87149.352 + 101006.742 + 99530.473 = R$360,341 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$511,387 Mil.
Total Assets was R$2,428,679 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$1,562,505 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$146,061 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$60,837 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$493,559 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$173,257 Mil.
Net Income was 21875.417 + 35467.506 + 40479.924 + 39275.356 = R$137,098 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 10014.684 + 11953.439 + 9889.372 + 10753.306 = R$42,611 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 45523.668 + 69172.82 + 79308.044 + 64053.99 = R$258,059 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$266,617 Mil.
Revenue was 466740.07 + 494534.858 + 486174.538 + 484673.595 = R$1,932,123 Mil.
Gross Profit was 106438.478 + 105223.947 + 112926.818 + 108777.676 = R$433,367 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$525,329 Mil.
Total Assets was R$2,602,131 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$1,685,085 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$138,833 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$57,138 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$425,115 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$188,998 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(323100.377 / 1759235.238) / (266617.304 / 1932123.061)
=0.18366 / 0.137992
=1.3309

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(433366.919 / 1932123.061) / (360341.4 / 1759235.238)
=0.224296 / 0.204828
=1.095

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (511386.895 + 1562505.118) / 2428678.536) / (1 - (525328.737 + 1685084.932) / 2602131.454)
=0.146082 / 0.150537
=0.9704

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1759235.238 / 1932123.061
=0.9105

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(138832.684 / (138832.684 + 1685084.932)) / (146060.698 / (146060.698 + 1562505.118))
=0.076118 / 0.085487
=0.8904

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(60836.504 / 1759235.238) / (57138.185 / 1932123.061)
=0.034581 / 0.029573
=1.1693

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((173256.648 + 493559.189) / 2428678.536) / ((188998.116 + 425114.765) / 2602131.454)
=0.274559 / 0.236004
=1.1634

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(137098.203 - 42610.801 - 258058.522) / 2428678.536
=-0.06735

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Exxon Mobil has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 mean?
Exxon Mobil (BSP:EXXO34) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.51 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Exxon Mobil and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Exxon Mobil ranks #495 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 60.2%.
Is Exxon Mobil's Beneish M-Score too high?
Exxon Mobil's current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Based on the distribution chart, Exxon Mobil ranks #495 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Exxon Mobil has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Exxon Mobil's Beneish M-Score compare to CVX and NFG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Exxon Mobil ranks #495 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Exxon Mobil in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Exxon Mobil and its competitors. Exxon Mobil's current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Exxon Mobil stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exxon Mobil (BSP:EXXO34) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$73.80, compared to a current price of R$88.01 — trading 19.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.51. Exxon Mobil's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Exxon Mobil (BSP:EXXO34), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.51 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Exxon Mobil (BSP:EXXO34) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exxon Mobil stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$88.01 is trading 19.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$73.80. GuruFocus considers Exxon Mobil to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:EXXO34:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.51
  • GF Value™: R$73.80 vs. price of R$88.01 (19.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:EXXO34 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Exxon Mobil Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 22777 Springwoods Village Parkway, Spring, TX, USA, 77389-1425
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2025, reserves were 19.3 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.1 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:EXXO34

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$88.01
Price
R$73.80
GF Value