Metalurgica Gerdau (BSP:GOAU3) Beneish M-Score: -2.97 (As of Jul. 01, 2026)


BSP:GOAU3 Metalurgica Gerdau SA BSP:GOAU3
64 GF Score
Price R$8.51
GF Value R$7.24
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score?

Metalurgica Gerdau BSP:GOAU3 -0.93% 64 Beneish M-Score is -2.97 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:GOAU3 with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of R$7.24 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 588 Steel companies, Metalurgica Gerdau ranks better than 79.08% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.97 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:GOAU3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.75   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.97

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Metalurgica Gerdau was -2.17. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.75.


Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score Chart

Metalurgica Gerdau Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -2.56 -2.84 -2.86 -2.89

Metalurgica Gerdau Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -3.04 -2.79 -2.89 -2.97

BSP:GOAU3 vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:GOAU3
64GF Score
Metalurgica Gerdau SA BSP:GOAU3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Metalurgica Gerdau Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Metalurgica Gerdau for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9243+0.528 * 1.0654+0.404 * 0.9846+0.892 * 1.0148+0.115 * 0.9077
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9366+4.679 * -0.098754-0.327 * 1.0097
=-2.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$5,868 Mil.
Revenue was 16715.661 + 16974.303 + 17983.143 + 17525.75 = R$69,199 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2293.867 + 1848.301 + 2142.092 + 2030.547 = R$8,315 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$28,639 Mil.
Total Assets was R$81,113 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$32,008 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$3,712 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$2,112 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$10,363 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$13,992 Mil.
Net Income was 356.454 + -463.101 + 382.3 + 299.529 = R$575 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1501.301 + 3145.814 + 2924.93 + 1013.437 = R$8,585 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$6,256 Mil.
Revenue was 17375.336 + 16822.544 + 17378.032 + 16615.817 = R$68,192 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1946.553 + 2020.01 + 2576.615 + 2186.896 = R$8,730 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$32,249 Mil.
Total Assets was R$85,632 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$31,438 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$3,274 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$2,222 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$12,196 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$13,270 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5867.553 / 69198.857) / (6255.934 / 68191.729)
=0.084793 / 0.09174
=0.9243

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8730.074 / 68191.729) / (8314.807 / 69198.857)
=0.128022 / 0.120158
=1.0654

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (28638.884 + 32008.274) / 81113.434) / (1 - (32249.079 + 31438.125) / 85631.889)
=0.252317 / 0.256268
=0.9846

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=69198.857 / 68191.729
=1.0148

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3274.298 / (3274.298 + 31438.125)) / (3712.143 / (3712.143 + 32008.274))
=0.094326 / 0.103922
=0.9077

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2112.103 / 69198.857) / (2222.198 / 68191.729)
=0.030522 / 0.032588
=0.9366

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13991.945 + 10363.418) / 81113.434) / ((13270.369 + 12195.918) / 85631.889)
=0.300263 / 0.297393
=1.0097

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(575.182 - 0 - 8585.482) / 81113.434
=-0.098754

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Metalurgica Gerdau has a M-score of -2.97 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.97 mean?
Metalurgica Gerdau (BSP:GOAU3) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.97 as of Jul. 01, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Metalurgica Gerdau and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Metalurgica Gerdau ranks #123 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 20.9%.
Is Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score too high?
Metalurgica Gerdau's current Beneish M-Score is -2.97. Based on the distribution chart, Metalurgica Gerdau ranks #123 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Metalurgica Gerdau has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Metalurgica Gerdau's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Metalurgica Gerdau ranks #123 out of 588 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Metalurgica Gerdau in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Metalurgica Gerdau and its competitors. Metalurgica Gerdau's current Beneish M-Score is -2.97. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Metalurgica Gerdau stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metalurgica Gerdau (BSP:GOAU3) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$7.24, compared to a current price of R$8.51 — trading 17.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.97. Metalurgica Gerdau's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Metalurgica Gerdau (BSP:GOAU3), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.97 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Metalurgica Gerdau (BSP:GOAU3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Metalurgica Gerdau stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$8.51 is trading 17.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$7.24. GuruFocus considers Metalurgica Gerdau to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:GOAU3:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.97
  • GF Value™: R$7.24 vs. price of R$8.51 (17.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:GOAU3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Metalurgica Gerdau Business Description

Other Exchanges GOAU4:Brazil
Address Avenida Farrapos, 1811, Porto Alegre, RS, BRA, 90220005
Metalurgica Gerdau SA produces steel and steel products used in construction, industrial, agricultural and automotive sectors. Its products include steel columns, nails, transfer bars for the construction sector; billet, electrodes, mechanical construction wire rods for the industrial sector; staples, steel posts, tribars, galvanized wires for agricultural sector; mechanical construction ingots, mechanical construction wires, and various other products for the automotive sector. Its revenue is generated by sales of long steel to nonresidential construction and infrastructure sector in North America.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:GOAU3

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$8.51
Price
R$7.24
GF Value