Ambev (BUE:ABEV) Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


BUE:ABEV Ambev SA BUE:ABEV
76 GF Score
Price ARS14,490.00
GF Value ARS12,483.15
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Ambev Beneish M-Score?

Ambev BUE:ABEV -0.75% 76 Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:ABEV with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS12,483.15 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 201 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Ambev ranks better than 65.67% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ambev's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:ABEV' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.2   Med: -2.69   Max: -2.02
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ambev was -2.02. The lowest was -3.20. And the median was -2.69.


Ambev Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ambev's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ambev Beneish M-Score Chart

Ambev Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.52 -2.65 -2.73 -2.66

Ambev Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.83 -2.71 -2.66 -2.78

BUE:ABEV vs STZ, TAP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Ambev's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ambev Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ambev's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ambev's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BUE:ABEV
76GF Score
Ambev SA BUE:ABEV
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ambev Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ambev for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0182+0.528 * 0.9979+0.404 * 1.0082+0.892 * 1.4072+0.115 * 0.988
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9596+4.679 * -0.057146-0.327 * 1.0872
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ARS2,360,428 Mil.
Revenue was 6006357.938 + 6600079.115 + 5278918.771 + 4300866.312 = ARS22,186,222 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3096926.577 + 3473395.864 + 2716343.198 + 2150213.512 = ARS11,436,879 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS11,452,407 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS38,170,175 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS7,055,335 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS1,681,599 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS6,247,185 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS11,139,827 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS535,124 Mil.
Net Income was 1007525.497 + 1156413.92 + 1201555.642 + 581804.187 = ARS3,947,299 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -205318.724 + -325992.108 + 26709.52 + -142608.842 = ARS-647,210 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 845128.696 + 3525706.079 + 1752017.367 + 652946.123 = ARS6,775,798 Mil.
Total Receivables was ARS1,647,385 Mil.
Revenue was 4165095.616 + 4475627.518 + 3792652.393 + 3332577.288 = ARS15,765,953 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2138636.338 + 2402400.469 + 1909330.649 + 1659991.913 = ARS8,110,359 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS8,062,891 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS27,270,482 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS5,274,059 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS1,238,481 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS4,626,070 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS7,283,930 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS388,339 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2360428.447 / 22186222.136) / (1647384.552 / 15765952.815)
=0.106392 / 0.10449
=1.0182

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8110359.369 / 15765952.815) / (11436879.151 / 22186222.136)
=0.514422 / 0.515495
=0.9979

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (11452407.165 + 7055335.349) / 38170175.449) / (1 - (8062891.265 + 5274059.008) / 27270481.549)
=0.515126 / 0.510938
=1.0082

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=22186222.136 / 15765952.815
=1.4072

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1238481.122 / (1238481.122 + 5274059.008)) / (1681598.526 / (1681598.526 + 7055335.349))
=0.190169 / 0.19247
=0.988

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6247184.968 / 22186222.136) / (4626070.299 / 15765952.815)
=0.281579 / 0.293422
=0.9596

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((535124.203 + 11139826.816) / 38170175.449) / ((388339.163 + 7283930.016) / 27270481.549)
=0.305866 / 0.28134
=1.0872

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3947299.246 - -647210.154 - 6775798.265) / 38170175.449
=-0.057146

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ambev has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 mean?
Ambev (BUE:ABEV) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ambev and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ambev ranks #69 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 34.3%.
Is Ambev's Beneish M-Score too high?
Ambev's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Based on the distribution chart, Ambev ranks #69 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Ambev has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ambev's Beneish M-Score compare to STZ and TAP?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Ambev ranks #69 out of 201 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Ambev in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ambev and its competitors. Ambev's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ambev stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ambev (BUE:ABEV) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS12,483.15, compared to a current price of ARS14,490.00 — trading 16.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Ambev's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ambev (BUE:ABEV), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ambev (BUE:ABEV) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ambev stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ARS14,490.00 is trading 16.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of ARS12,483.15. GuruFocus considers Ambev to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:ABEV:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.78
  • GF Value™: ARS12,483.15 vs. price of ARS14,490.00 (16.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:ABEV stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ambev Business Description

Address Rua Doctor Renato Paes de Barros, 1017, 4th Floor, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 04530-001
Ambev is the largest brewer in Latin America and the Caribbean and is Anheuser-Busch InBev's subsidiary in the region. It produces, distributes, and sells beer and PepsiCo products in Brazil and other Latin American countries and owns Argentina's largest brewer, Quinsa. Ambev was formed in 1999 through the merger of Brazil's two largest beverage companies, Brahma and Antarctica. In 2004, Ambev combined with Canadian brewer Labatt, giving AB InBev a controlling interest of 62%.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:ABEV

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS14,490.00
Price
ARS12,483.15
GF Value