Embraer (BUE:ERJ) Beneish M-Score: -2.70 (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

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BUE:ERJ Embraer SA BUE:ERJ
51 GF Score
Price ARS97,100.00
GF Value ARS89,213.35
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Embraer Beneish M-Score?

Embraer BUE:ERJ 51 Beneish M-Score is -2.70 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:ERJ with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS89,213.35. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 326 Aerospace & Defense companies, Embraer ranks better than 71.78% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.7 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Embraer's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:ERJ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.58   Max: -1.07
Current: -2.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Embraer was -1.07. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.58.


Embraer Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Embraer's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Embraer Beneish M-Score Chart

Embraer Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -3.00 -2.57 -2.26 -2.78

Embraer Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -2.45 -2.77 -2.78 -2.70

BUE:ERJ vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Embraer's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Embraer Beneish M-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Embraer's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Embraer's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BUE:ERJ
51GF Score
Embraer SA BUE:ERJ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Embraer Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Embraer for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7136+0.528 * 1.0116+0.404 * 0.9517+0.892 * 1.6652+0.115 * 0.976
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9317+4.679 * -0.017689-0.327 * 1.002
=-2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ARS1,414,884 Mil.
Revenue was 2022841.173 + 3849058.499 + 2720777.848 + 2159695.926 = ARS10,752,373 Mil.
Gross Profit was 363823.373 + 641848.431 + 467835.273 + 418855.875 = ARS1,892,363 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS10,045,692 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS18,119,299 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS3,155,000 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS355,169 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS763,712 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS6,783,027 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS3,761,279 Mil.
Net Income was 46701.386 + 120909.033 + 158344.246 + 93197.807 = ARS419,152 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -4893.858 + -205966.287 + -7061.664 + -23507.217 = ARS-241,429 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -543078.393 + 1243926.063 + 370601.585 + -90348.447 = ARS981,101 Mil.
Total Receivables was ARS1,190,763 Mil.
Revenue was 1175838.742 + 2334615.023 + 1608626.129 + 1338056.081 = ARS6,457,136 Mil.
Gross Profit was 201587.585 + 433896.004 + 299217.387 + 214919.997 = ARS1,149,621 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS6,675,843 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS12,469,008 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS2,236,439 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS245,059 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS492,248 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS5,053,761 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS2,187,934 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1414884.207 / 10752373.446) / (1190763.259 / 6457135.975)
=0.131588 / 0.18441
=0.7136

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1149620.973 / 6457135.975) / (1892362.952 / 10752373.446)
=0.178039 / 0.175995
=1.0116

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10045691.853 + 3155000.222) / 18119298.83) / (1 - (6675843.113 + 2236438.891) / 12469007.641)
=0.271457 / 0.285245
=0.9517

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10752373.446 / 6457135.975
=1.6652

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(245058.866 / (245058.866 + 2236438.891)) / (355169.468 / (355169.468 + 3155000.222))
=0.098754 / 0.101183
=0.976

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(763711.637 / 10752373.446) / (492247.734 / 6457135.975)
=0.071027 / 0.076233
=0.9317

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3761279.294 + 6783026.759) / 18119298.83) / ((2187934.21 + 5053761.309) / 12469007.641)
=0.581938 / 0.580776
=1.002

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(419152.472 - -241429.026 - 981100.808) / 18119298.83
=-0.017689

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Embraer has a M-score of -2.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.70 mean?
Embraer (BUE:ERJ) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.70 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Embraer and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Embraer ranks #92 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 28.2%.
Is Embraer's Beneish M-Score too high?
Embraer's current Beneish M-Score is -2.70. Based on the distribution chart, Embraer ranks #92 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Embraer has a GF Score™ of 51/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Embraer's Beneish M-Score compare to SPCX and GE?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Embraer ranks #92 out of 326 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Embraer in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Embraer and its competitors. Embraer's current Beneish M-Score is -2.70. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Embraer stock overvalued right now?
Embraer (BUE:ERJ) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.70. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS89,213.35, compared to a current price of ARS97,100.00 — trading 8.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.70. Embraer's overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Embraer (BUE:ERJ), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.70 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Embraer (BUE:ERJ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Embraer stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ARS97,100.00 is trading 8.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of ARS89,213.35.

Key valuation signals for BUE:ERJ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.70
  • GF Value™: ARS89,213.35 vs. price of ARS97,100.00 (8.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:ERJ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Embraer Business Description

Address Avenida Dra. Ruth Cardoso, 8501, 30th Floor, Eldorado Business Tower, Pinheiros, SP, BRA, 05425-070
Embraer SA based in Sao Paulo, Brazil, manufacturer of jets. Its focus is to achieve customer satisfaction with and services addressing the commercial airline, executive jets, and defense and security markets. It has developed a customer-centric technology-driven portfolio of commercial aviation products and services that allows it to build long-term relationships with clients in the commercial aviation, executive jets, and defense and security markets. It operates through the various segments namely Commercial Aviation, Defense and Security, Executive Aviation, Service and Support, and Other Segments. The company generates maximum revenue from the Commercial Aviation segment. Geographically, the company operates in Brazil, Europe, Asia Pacific, North America, and Others.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:ERJ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS97,100.00
Price
ARS89,213.35
GF Value