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Vale (BUE:VALE) Beneish M-Score : -2.07 (As of Mar. 28, 2025)


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What is Vale Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vale's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:VALE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.86
Current: -2.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vale was -1.86. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.50.


Vale Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vale's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vale Beneish M-Score Chart

Vale Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.93 -2.56 -1.86 -2.92 -2.07

Vale Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.92 -2.96 -2.71 -2.50 -2.07

Competitive Comparison of Vale's Beneish M-Score

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Vale's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vale's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Vale's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vale's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Vale Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vale for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6674+0.528 * 1.1811+0.404 * 2.3081+0.892 * 2.844+0.115 * 0.771
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2512+4.679 * 0.005538-0.327 * 1.1447
=-0.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ARS3,492,580 Mil.
Revenue was 10225240.102 + 9080126.101 + 8883359.873 + 7126707.621 = ARS35,315,434 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3894560.039 + 3110035.863 + 3197830.454 + 2605010.044 = ARS12,807,436 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS13,615,810 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS80,953,521 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS40,383,840 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS2,130,598 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS536,216 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS13,220,900 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS16,720,550 Mil.
Net Income was -700940.007 + 2292605.899 + 2479639.465 + 1414557.524 = ARS5,485,863 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -3125950.031 + 207208.991 + 313424.996 + 104470.002 = ARS-2,500,846 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2941120.029 + 1584483.43 + 0 + 3012780.051 = ARS7,538,384 Mil.
Total Receivables was ARS1,840,017 Mil.
Revenue was 4712494.004 + 3717518.952 + 2321519.981 + 1666136.739 = ARS12,417,670 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2224843.002 + 1509684.342 + 895919.993 + 688461.766 = ARS5,318,909 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS6,750,700 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS34,001,146 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS22,345,539 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS898,169 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS150,700 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS5,290,455 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS5,695,136 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3492580.035 / 35315433.697) / (1840017.002 / 12417669.676)
=0.098897 / 0.148177
=0.6674

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5318909.103 / 12417669.676) / (12807436.4 / 35315433.697)
=0.428334 / 0.362658
=1.1811

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13615810.136 + 40383840.404) / 80953520.81) / (1 - (6750700.006 + 22345539.02) / 34001146.031)
=0.332955 / 0.144257
=2.3081

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=35315433.697 / 12417669.676
=2.844

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(898168.81 / (898168.81 + 22345539.02)) / (2130598.487 / (2130598.487 + 40383840.404))
=0.038641 / 0.050115
=0.771

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(536216.497 / 35315433.697) / (150700.002 / 12417669.676)
=0.015184 / 0.012136
=1.2512

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16720550.167 + 13220900.132) / 80953520.81) / ((5695136.005 + 5290455.005) / 34001146.031)
=0.36986 / 0.323095
=1.1447

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5485862.881 - -2500846.042 - 7538383.51) / 80953520.81
=0.005538

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vale has a M-score of -0.61 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Vale Business Description

Address
Praia de Botafogo, 186, offices 1101, 1701 and 1801, Botafogo, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 22250-145
Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by the bulk materials division, primarily iron ore and iron ore pellets. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. In 2024, Vale sold a minority 10% stake in energy transition metals, its base metals business, likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.

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