Vale (BUE:VALE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS1,413.63 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BUE:VALE Vale SA BUE:VALE
59 GF Score
Price ARS11,210.00
GF Value ARS9,912.04
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Vale BUE:VALE +1.08% 59 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS1,413.63 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:VALE with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS9,912.04 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Vale's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS454.019. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS1,413.63 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Vale's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Vale was 44.00% per year. The lowest was -4.30% per year. And the median was 13.10% per year.

As of today (2026-07-22), Vale's current stock price is ARS11210.00. Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS1,413.63. Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 7.93.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Vale was 29.55. The lowest was 5.75. And the median was 15.18.


Vale  (BUE:VALE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=11210.00/1413.63
=7.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Vale was 29.55. The lowest was 5.75. And the median was 15.18.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Vale Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 102.46 215.67 760.73 801.44 1,311.99

Vale Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,002.72 998.96 1,338.14 1,311.99 1,413.63

Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BUE:VALE
59GF Score
Vale SA BUE:VALE
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Vale's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=454.019/175.0655*175.0655
=454.019

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 175.0655.

Vale Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 5.181 108.851 8.333
201609 7.242 109.986 11.527
201612 6.220 110.802 9.828
201703 10.851 111.869 16.981
201706 13.908 112.115 21.717
201709 9.993 112.777 15.512
201712 20.302 114.068 31.158
201803 9.940 114.868 15.149
201806 27.246 117.038 40.755
201809 53.591 117.881 79.588
201812 26.320 118.340 38.936
201903 23.968 120.124 34.930
201906 38.369 120.977 55.523
201909 68.846 121.292 99.368
201912 39.527 123.436 56.060
202003 13.579 124.092 19.157
202006 9.849 123.557 13.955
202009 113.229 125.095 158.459
202012 166.227 129.012 225.564
202103 211.998 131.660 281.888
202106 245.926 133.871 321.603
202109 301.955 137.913 383.299
202112 5.365 141.992 6.615
202203 65.647 146.537 78.427
202206 115.611 149.784 135.125
202209 132.242 147.800 156.638
202212 9.246 150.207 10.776
202303 219.848 153.352 250.976
202306 75.480 154.519 85.517
202309 227.228 155.464 255.879
202312 447.914 157.148 498.983
202403 856.713 159.372 941.072
202406 -49.189 161.052 -53.469
202409 118.726 162.342 128.031
202412 278.066 164.740 295.494
202503 206.534 168.102 215.090
202506 385.837 169.670 398.107
202509 751.626 170.739 770.672
202512 346.825 171.765 353.489
202603 454.019 175.066 454.019

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS1,413.63 mean?
Vale (BUE:VALE) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS1,413.63 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Vale and its competitors.
Is Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Vale's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS1,413.63. Overall, Vale has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to competitors?
Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS1,413.63 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Vale and its competitors. Vale's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS1,413.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vale stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vale (BUE:VALE) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS9,912.04, compared to a current price of ARS11,210.00 — trading 13.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS1,413.63. Vale's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vale (BUE:VALE), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS1,413.63 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vale (BUE:VALE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vale stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ARS11,210.00 is trading 13.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of ARS9,912.04. GuruFocus considers Vale to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:VALE:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS1,413.63
  • GF Value™: ARS9,912.04 vs. price of ARS11,210.00 (13.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:VALE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vale Business Description

Address Praia de Botafogo, 186, Rooms 1801 to 2001, Botafogo, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 22250-145
Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by its iron ore business. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. In 2024, Vale sold a minority 10% stake in its base metals business, likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:VALE

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS11,210.00
Price
ARS9,912.04
GF Value