CHEAF (China Eastern Airlines) Beneish M-Score: -3.55 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


CHEAF China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd CHEAF
53 GF Score
Price $0.47
GF Value $0.67
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is China Eastern Airlines Beneish M-Score?

China Eastern Airlines CHEAF 53 Beneish M-Score is -3.55 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHEAF with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.67 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, China Eastern Airlines ranks better than 94.72% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Eastern Airlines's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHEAF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -30.4   Med: -3.01   Max: 5.45
Current: -3.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Eastern Airlines was 5.45. The lowest was -30.40. And the median was -3.01.


China Eastern Airlines Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Eastern Airlines's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Eastern Airlines Beneish M-Score Chart

China Eastern Airlines Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.51 -3.45 -30.40 -3.69 -3.24

China Eastern Airlines Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.15 -3.36 -3.49 -3.24 -3.55

CHEAF vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, China Eastern Airlines's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Eastern Airlines Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, China Eastern Airlines's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Eastern Airlines's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CHEAF
53GF Score
China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd CHEAF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Eastern Airlines Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Eastern Airlines for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7469+0.528 * 0.5513+0.404 * 0.8786+0.892 * 1.1081+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9746+4.679 * -0.123931-0.327 * 1.0079
=-3.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $688 Mil.
Revenue was 5377.171 + 4760.194 + 5557.942 + 4653.78 = $20,349 Mil.
Gross Profit was 443.696 + -67.583 + 763.81 + 226.589 = $1,367 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,322 Mil.
Total Assets was $43,198 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $34,864 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $792 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $18,210 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $17,198 Mil.
Net Income was 236.938 + -530.441 + 496.104 + -60.721 = $142 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 501.589 + 1288.335 + 2291.009 + 1414.545 = $5,495 Mil.
Total Receivables was $831 Mil.
Revenue was 4608.169 + 4056.615 + 5424.816 + 4274.47 = $18,364 Mil.
Gross Profit was 95.733 + -118.533 + 670.294 + 32.393 = $680 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,121 Mil.
Total Assets was $39,355 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $32,074 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $734 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $16,590 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $15,414 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(687.599 / 20349.087) / (830.839 / 18364.07)
=0.03379 / 0.045243
=0.7469

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(679.887 / 18364.07) / (1366.512 / 20349.087)
=0.037023 / 0.067153
=0.5513

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4321.905 + 34864.41) / 43198.3) / (1 - (3121.267 + 32073.993) / 39355.386)
=0.092874 / 0.105707
=0.8786

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=20349.087 / 18364.07
=1.1081

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 32073.993)) / (0 / (0 + 34864.41))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(792.225 / 20349.087) / (733.564 / 18364.07)
=0.038932 / 0.039946
=0.9746

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17197.951 + 18209.689) / 43198.3) / ((15414.04 + 16589.878) / 39355.386)
=0.819654 / 0.813203
=1.0079

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(141.88 - 0 - 5495.478) / 43198.3
=-0.123931

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Eastern Airlines has a M-score of -3.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.55 mean?
China Eastern Airlines (CHEAF) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.55 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Eastern Airlines and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Eastern Airlines ranks #51 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 5.3%.
Is China Eastern Airlines' Beneish M-Score too high?
China Eastern Airlines' current Beneish M-Score is -3.55. Based on the distribution chart, China Eastern Airlines ranks #51 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, China Eastern Airlines has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Eastern Airlines' Beneish M-Score compare to DAL and UAL?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, China Eastern Airlines ranks #51 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places China Eastern Airlines in the top 5% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Eastern Airlines and its competitors. China Eastern Airlines's current Beneish M-Score is -3.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Eastern Airlines stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Eastern Airlines (CHEAF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.67, compared to a current price of $0.47 — trading 29.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.55. China Eastern Airlines' overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Eastern Airlines (CHEAF), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.55 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Eastern Airlines (CHEAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Eastern Airlines stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $0.47 is trading 29.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.67. GuruFocus considers China Eastern Airlines to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for CHEAF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.55
  • GF Value™: $0.67 vs. price of $0.47 (29.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHEAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Eastern Airlines Business Description

Address 36 Hongxiang 3rd Road, Minhang District, Shanghai, CHN, 201100
China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd principally engaged in the operation of civil aviation, including the provision of passenger, cargo, mail delivery and other extended transportation services, also manufacturing and maintenance of aircraft and aviation equipment, agency services, import and export business, tourism and hotel business; and other businesses related to air transportation. The Group has two reportable segments. Airline transportation operations mainly comprise the provision of passenger, cargo, mail delivery, and ground services. Other services, including tour operations, air catering, and other miscellaneous services, are not included within the airline transportation operations segment. Geographically, the company operates Domestic, Regional and International.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHEAF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.47
Price
$0.67
GF Value