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Associated British Foods (CHIX:ABFL) Beneish M-Score : -2.95 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Associated British Foods Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Associated British Foods's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:ABFl' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.21   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.25
Current: -2.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Associated British Foods was -2.25. The lowest was -3.21. And the median was -2.59.


Associated British Foods Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Associated British Foods's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Associated British Foods Beneish M-Score Chart

Associated British Foods Annual Data
Trend Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.21 -2.60 -2.25 -2.52 -2.95

Associated British Foods Semi-Annual Data
Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.25 - -2.52 - -2.95

Competitive Comparison of Associated British Foods's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Associated British Foods's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Associated British Foods's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Associated British Foods's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Associated British Foods's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Associated British Foods Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Associated British Foods for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9391+0.528 * 0.8667+0.404 * 1.0023+0.892 * 1.0164+0.115 * 0.9763
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0623+4.679 * -0.074629-0.327 * 0.9928
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Aug24) TTM:Last Year (Aug23) TTM:
Total Receivables was £1,697 Mil.
Revenue was £20,073 Mil.
Gross Profit was £4,882 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £6,520 Mil.
Total Assets was £19,014 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £8,310 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £949 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £3,048 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £3,668 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £3,252 Mil.
Net Income was £1,455 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £2,874 Mil.
Total Receivables was £1,778 Mil.
Revenue was £19,750 Mil.
Gross Profit was £4,163 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £6,739 Mil.
Total Assets was £18,844 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £7,968 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £886 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £2,823 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £3,689 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £3,219 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1697 / 20073) / (1778 / 19750)
=0.084541 / 0.090025
=0.9391

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4163 / 19750) / (4882 / 20073)
=0.210785 / 0.243212
=0.8667

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6520 + 8310) / 19014) / (1 - (6739 + 7968) / 18844)
=0.220048 / 0.219539
=1.0023

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=20073 / 19750
=1.0164

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(886 / (886 + 7968)) / (949 / (949 + 8310))
=0.100068 / 0.102495
=0.9763

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3048 / 20073) / (2823 / 19750)
=0.151846 / 0.142937
=1.0623

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3252 + 3668) / 19014) / ((3219 + 3689) / 18844)
=0.363942 / 0.366589
=0.9928

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1455 - 0 - 2874) / 19014
=-0.074629

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Associated British Foods has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Associated British Foods Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Associated British Foods Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10 Grosvenor Street, Weston Centre, London, GBR, W1K 4QY
Associated British Foods is a diversified international retail, food, and ingredients group with 130,000 employees and operations in 50 countries across Europe, southern Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Australia. The group sells branded grocery products, grows and processes sugar, supplies farmers with crop input and animal feed, and runs the popular Primark clothing retail chain. It also supplies ingredients like baker's yeast, enzymes, lipids, and cereal specialities. Some 40% of sales are in the UK. Primark generates more than half of the firm's operating profit.

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