Alstom (CHIX:ALOP) Beneish M-Score: -2.47 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


CHIX:ALOP Alstom SA CHIX:ALOP
73 GF Score
Price €16.12
GF Value €18.70
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Alstom Beneish M-Score?

Alstom CHIX:ALOP 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.47 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:ALOP with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of €18.70 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Alstom ranks worse than 60.35% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.47 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alstom's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:ALOp' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.59   Med: -2.4   Max: -1.33
Current: -2.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alstom was -1.33. The lowest was -2.59. And the median was -2.40.


Alstom Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alstom's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alstom Beneish M-Score Chart

Alstom Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.89 -2.59 -2.48 -2.49 -2.47

Alstom Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 0.00 -2.49 0.00 -2.47

CHIX:ALOP vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Alstom's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alstom Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Alstom's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alstom's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CHIX:ALOP
73GF Score
Alstom SA CHIX:ALOP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alstom Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alstom for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0314+0.528 * 1.0157+0.404 * 0.9748+0.892 * 1.0369+0.115 * 1.0981
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9354+4.679 * -0.016198-0.327 * 1.0032
=-2.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €9,913 Mil.
Revenue was €19,171 Mil.
Gross Profit was €2,352 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €19,072 Mil.
Total Assets was €35,005 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,858 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €813 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,030 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €20,330 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,588 Mil.
Net Income was €324 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €891 Mil.
Total Receivables was €9,269 Mil.
Revenue was €18,489 Mil.
Gross Profit was €2,304 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €18,614 Mil.
Total Assets was €34,586 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,720 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €874 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,062 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €19,254 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,318 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9913 / 19171) / (9269 / 18489)
=0.517083 / 0.501325
=1.0314

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2304 / 18489) / (2352 / 19171)
=0.124615 / 0.122685
=1.0157

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (19072 + 2858) / 35005) / (1 - (18614 + 2720) / 34586)
=0.373518 / 0.383161
=0.9748

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19171 / 18489
=1.0369

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(874 / (874 + 2720)) / (813 / (813 + 2858))
=0.243183 / 0.221466
=1.0981

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1030 / 19171) / (1062 / 18489)
=0.053727 / 0.05744
=0.9354

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2588 + 20330) / 35005) / ((3318 + 19254) / 34586)
=0.654706 / 0.652634
=1.0032

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(324 - 0 - 891) / 35005
=-0.016198

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alstom has a M-score of -2.47 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.47 mean?
Alstom (CHIX:ALOP) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.47 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alstom and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Alstom ranks #583 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 60.4%.
Is Alstom's Beneish M-Score too high?
Alstom's current Beneish M-Score is -2.47. Based on the distribution chart, Alstom ranks #583 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Alstom has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alstom's Beneish M-Score compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Alstom ranks #583 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Alstom in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alstom and its competitors. Alstom's current Beneish M-Score is -2.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alstom stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alstom (CHIX:ALOP) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €18.70, compared to a current price of €16.12 — trading 13.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.47. Alstom's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alstom (CHIX:ALOP), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.47 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alstom (CHIX:ALOP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alstom stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €16.12 is trading 13.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €18.70. GuruFocus considers Alstom to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:ALOP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.47
  • GF Value™: €18.70 vs. price of €16.12 (13.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:ALOP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alstom Business Description

Address 48, Rue Albert Dhalenne, Saint-Ouen-sur-Seine, Paris, FRA, 93400
Alstom develops and markets equipment, systems, and services for the railway transport sector, including rolling stock, maintenance and modernization services, signaling, and infrastructure, which are offered separately, bundled, or as fully integrated solutions. The company is one of the key international players in the industry with a strong position in European markets.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:ALOP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€16.12
Price
€18.70
GF Value