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Novo Nordisk AS (CHIX:NOVOBC) Beneish M-Score : -2.60 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Novo Nordisk AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Novo Nordisk AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:NOVOBc' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.16
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Novo Nordisk AS was -2.16. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.59.


Novo Nordisk AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Novo Nordisk AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Novo Nordisk AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Novo Nordisk AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.31 -2.16 -2.74 -2.58

Novo Nordisk AS Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 -2.58 -2.28 -2.76 -2.60

Competitive Comparison of Novo Nordisk AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Novo Nordisk AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Novo Nordisk AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Novo Nordisk AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Novo Nordisk AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Novo Nordisk AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Novo Nordisk AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0187+0.528 * 0.9939+0.404 * 0.8144+0.892 * 1.2615+0.115 * 0.7608
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8973+4.679 * -0.059121-0.327 * 1.0192
=-2.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr79,629 Mil.
Revenue was 71311 + 68060 + 65349 + 65863 = kr270,583 Mil.
Gross Profit was 60003 + 57786 + 55433 + 55849 = kr229,071 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr195,160 Mil.
Total Assets was kr397,441 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr119,832 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr16,901 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr65,722 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr208,358 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr51,452 Mil.
Net Income was 27301 + 20050 + 25407 + 21963 = kr94,721 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 43850 + 50503 + 14314 + 9551 = kr118,218 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr61,964 Mil.
Revenue was 58731 + 54300 + 53367 + 48092 = kr214,490 Mil.
Gross Profit was 49018 + 46444 + 45185 + 39830 = kr180,477 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr142,199 Mil.
Total Assets was kr300,101 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr81,461 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr8,456 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr58,063 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr172,552 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr19,924 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(79629 / 270583) / (61964 / 214490)
=0.294287 / 0.28889
=1.0187

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(180477 / 214490) / (229071 / 270583)
=0.841424 / 0.846583
=0.9939

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (195160 + 119832) / 397441) / (1 - (142199 + 81461) / 300101)
=0.20745 / 0.254718
=0.8144

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=270583 / 214490
=1.2615

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8456 / (8456 + 81461)) / (16901 / (16901 + 119832))
=0.094042 / 0.123606
=0.7608

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(65722 / 270583) / (58063 / 214490)
=0.24289 / 0.270703
=0.8973

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((51452 + 208358) / 397441) / ((19924 + 172552) / 300101)
=0.653707 / 0.641371
=1.0192

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(94721 - 0 - 118218) / 397441
=-0.059121

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Novo Nordisk AS has a M-score of -2.60 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Novo Nordisk AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Novo Nordisk AS Business Description

Address
Novo Alle 1, Bagsvaerd, DNK, 2880
With roughly one third of the global branded diabetes treatment market, Novo Nordisk is the leading provider of diabetes-care products in the world. Based in Denmark, the company manufactures and markets a variety of human and modern insulins, injectable diabetes treatments such as GLP-1 therapy, oral antidiabetic agents, and obesity treatments. Novo also has a biopharmaceutical segment (constituting roughly 10% of revenue) that specializes in protein therapies for hemophilia and other disorders.

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